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FC Chertanovo Moscow vs Dynamo Vologda

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Ezhkov D.
58' Event
Kondrashov D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FC Chertanovo Moscow
6%
Draws
4%
Dynamo Vologda
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Chertanovo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dynamo Vologda have won more games recently than FC Chertanovo Moscow.
  • Model gives FC Chertanovo Moscow a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FC Chertanovo Moscow Clean Sheet 20%
Dynamo Vologda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Chertanovo Moscow Dynamo Vologda
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow vs Dynamo Vologda
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow vs Dynamo Vologda
2:4
May 11, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Dynamo Vologda vs FC Chertanovo Moscow
5:0
Sep 15, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow vs Dynamo Vologda
0:1
Jun 1, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Dynamo Vologda vs FC Chertanovo Moscow
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Chertanovo Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Kondrashov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Dynamo Vologda Compare

Top Goalscorer Ezhkov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Chertanovo Moscow 85 / 100
Dynamo Vologda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Chertanovo Moscow Dynamo Vologda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Chertanovo Moscow's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

FC Chertanovo Moscow went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Dynamo Vologda has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Chertanovo Moscow VS Dynamo Vologda
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%