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FC Chertanovo Moscow vs FK Tver

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 2025 Chertanovo Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Chertanovo Moscow play FK Tver in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Chertanovo Moscow averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. FK Tver averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, FC Chertanovo Moscow won 3, FK Tver won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for FC Chertanovo Moscow and 0.69 for FK Tver. This points to a FC Chertanovo Moscow double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
FC Chertanovo Moscow
32%
Draws
21%
FK Tver
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: FC Chertanovo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • FC Chertanovo Moscow picked up more points recently compared to FK Tver.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
FC Chertanovo Moscow Clean Sheet 28%
FK Tver Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Chertanovo Moscow FK Tver
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.77 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FK Tver vs FC Chertanovo Moscow
0:2
Oct 12, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow vs FK Tver
1:1
Jun 22, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FK Tver vs FC Chertanovo Moscow
2:2
Sep 22, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow vs FK Tver
2:1
Jun 7, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FK Tver vs FC Chertanovo Moscow
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Chertanovo Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Pomalyuk A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

FK Tver Compare

Top Goalscorer Nabiev M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Chertanovo Moscow 48 / 100
FK Tver 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Chertanovo Moscow FK Tver

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Chertanovo Moscow or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Chertanovo Moscow attacking → ← attacking FK Tver

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Chertanovo Moscow scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

FK Tver let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

FC Chertanovo Moscow went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

FK Tver lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 28
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zenit St Petersburg 228234160:2073
2Dynamo Vologda28185551:2859
3FC Irkutsk28128841:3444
4Spartak Moscow 2281351042:3244
5Baltika 2281010846:3740
6Vladimir28812827:2936
7FK Tver28991036:4036
8Saturn Ramenskoye28981138:4535
9Cherepovets28961335:4333
10FC Chertanovo Moscow28881243:4532
11Zvezda St Peterburg287101141:4531
12Luki-Energiya28791226:3130
13Kosmos28781332:3729
14Yenisey 228671528:5825
15FK Kolomna284111323:4523