Sport Picks

FC Chertanovo Moscow vs Neftekhimik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia

Russian Cup Chertanovo Arena, Moscow

FC Chertanovo Moscow

Wed, Sep 9, 2026

2 - 1

04:00 PM

Neftekhimik

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Melnikov M.

20'

Platonov P.

24'

Gaynullin R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%

FC Chertanovo Moscow

15%

Draws

17%

Neftekhimik

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Chertanovo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to FC Chertanovo Moscow lately — more wins on the board than Neftekhimik.
FC Chertanovo Moscow are the model's pick here, at 70%.
FC Chertanovo Moscow have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor FC Chertanovo Moscow, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

FC Chertanovo Moscow Clean Sheet 20%

Neftekhimik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Chertanovo Moscow	Neftekhimik
Matches Played	27	30
Wins	16	9
Draws	6	6
Losses	5	15
Goals Scored	2.04	1.03
Goals Conceded	0.96	1.37
Expected Goals (xG)	2.06	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Russian Cup

FC Chertanovo Moscow vs Neftekhimik

2:1

Jul 1, 2022 Club Friendly

Neftekhimik vs FC Chertanovo Moscow

5:1

Nov 29, 2020 FNL

FC Chertanovo Moscow vs Neftekhimik

1:0

Aug 22, 2020 FNL

Neftekhimik vs FC Chertanovo Moscow

3:0

Apr 4, 2020 FNL

Neftekhimik vs FC Chertanovo Moscow

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Chertanovo Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaynullin R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.58

Avg xA / game 1.03

Neftekhimik Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukba E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Chertanovo Moscow 67 / 100

Neftekhimik 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Chertanovo Moscow Neftekhimik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Chertanovo Moscow Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Chertanovo Moscow's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Neftekhimik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

FC Chertanovo Moscow went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Chertanovo Moscow VS Neftekhimik

2.75 Goals Scored 0.88

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38

100% Over 1.5 50%

75% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Chertanovo Moscow

(Home)

04 Oct

Yenisey 2

2 : 1

FC Chertanovo Moscow

21 Sept

FC Chertanovo Moscow

4 : 2

Kosmos

12 Sept

Dynamo Petersburg

1 : 2

FC Chertanovo Moscow

09 Sept

FC Chertanovo Moscow

2 : 1

Neftekhimik

06 Sept

FC Chertanovo Moscow

2 : 0

Cherepovets

Page 1 of 6

Neftekhimik

(Away)

09 Oct

Neftekhimik

2 : 4

Chelyabinsk

18 Sept

Neftekhimik

0 : 1

Ural

14 Sept

S. Kostroma

1 : 0

Neftekhimik

09 Sept

FC Chertanovo Moscow

2 : 1

Neftekhimik

05 Sept

Yenisey

0 : 2

Neftekhimik

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/32-finals

Ilpar FC 1

Metallurg Asha 0

TBD -

Saratov -

Khimik -

TBD -

Nosta -

TBD -

Leningradets -

Zvezda St Peterburg -

TBD -

Luki-Energiya -

Kirovets-Voskhozhdenie 0

FK Tosno 3

TBD -

Cherepovets -

TBD -

Ural -

Kristall 2

Krasnoye Znamya 3

TBD -

D. Bryansk -

Strogino Moscow -

TBD -

Vladimir -

TBD -

SKA Khabarovsk -

Amkar -

TBD -

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod -

Bomik 1

Broke Boys 2

TBD -

Kirov -

TBD -

Kamaz -

Astrakhan -

TBD -

Mashuk -

Nart Cherkessk -

TBD -

Dynamo Stavropol -

TBD -

Pari Nizhny Novgorod -

Shinnik Yaroslavl -

TBD -

Torpedo Moscow -

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -

TBD -

Anzhi 1

Izberbash 5

Angust Nazran -

TBD -

Maykop -

TBD -

Yenisey -

TBD -

Kursk -

Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 3

Salyut-Belgorod 0

Kaluga -

TBD -

Iskra Smolensk -

TBD -

Ufa -

Chita 3

FC Irkutsk 0

TBD -

FC Chertanovo Moscow -

Temp Barnaul 3

KDV Tomsk 4

TBD -

Sibir Novosibirsk -

TBD -

Neftekhimik -

Tekstilshtik -

TBD -

Arsenal Tula -

FC Volgar-Astrakhan -

TBD -

FK Pobeda -

Spartak Nalchik -

TBD -

Alania Vladikavkaz -

TBD -

Ulyanovsk -

FC Murom -

TBD -

M. Lipetsk -

TBD -

FK Shumbrat Saransk -

2Drots 2

FC Oryol 0

TBD -

Veles Moscow -

FC 10 3

Kosmos 2

TBD -

Dynamo Petersburg -

Dynamo Vologda -

TBD -

FK Tver -

TBD -

PFC Sochi -

Volna Nizhegorodskaya -

TBD -

Tyumen -

FK Izhevsk -

TBD -

Torpedo Miass -

TBD -

R. Volgograd -

SKA Rostov-on-Don 3

Penza 2

TBD -

Spartak Tambov -

Kvant Obninsk -

TBD -

Ryazan -

TBD -

S. Kostroma -

Irtysh Omsk -

TBD -

Saturn Ramenskoye -

Anri Vladivostok 1

Dynamo Barnaul 2

TBD -

Dynamo Vladivostok -

TBD -

Chelyabinsk -

1/16-finals

Ilpar FC 1

Saratov 3

Khimik 2

Nosta 3

TBD -

Leningradets -

Zvezda St Peterburg 1

Luki-Energiya 2

FK Tosno 0

Cherepovets 1

TBD -

Ural -

Krasnoye Znamya 2

D. Bryansk 0

Strogino Moscow 0

Vladimir 3

TBD -

SKA Khabarovsk -

Amkar 2

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 0

Broke Boys 0

Kirov 2

TBD -

Kamaz -

Astrakhan 2

Mashuk 1

Nart Cherkessk 1

Dynamo Stavropol 2

TBD -

Pari Nizhny Novgorod -

Shinnik Yaroslavl -

TBD -

Torpedo Moscow -

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 0

Izberbash 3

Angust Nazran 0

Maykop 1

TBD -

Yenisey -

Kursk 2

Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 1

Kaluga 5

Iskra Smolensk 0

TBD -

Ufa -

Chita 0

FC Chertanovo Moscow 3

KDV Tomsk 3

Sibir Novosibirsk 2

TBD -

Neftekhimik -

Tekstilshtik -

TBD -

Arsenal Tula -

FC Volgar-Astrakhan 2

FK Pobeda 0

Spartak Nalchik 4

Alania Vladikavkaz 3

TBD -

Ulyanovsk -

FC Murom 1

M. Lipetsk 0

FK Shumbrat Saransk 1

2Drots 2

TBD -

Veles Moscow -

FC 10 1

Dynamo Petersburg 2

Dynamo Vologda 2

FK Tver 0

TBD -

PFC Sochi -

Volna Nizhegorodskaya 2

Tyumen 1

FK Izhevsk 1

Torpedo Miass 2

TBD -

R. Volgograd -

SKA Rostov-on-Don 1

Spartak Tambov 2

Kvant Obninsk 0

Ryazan 2

TBD -

S. Kostroma -

Irtysh Omsk 2

Saturn Ramenskoye 1

Dynamo Barnaul 1

Dynamo Vladivostok 0

TBD -

Chelyabinsk -

1/8-finals

Saratov 2

Nosta 1

TBD -

Leningradets -

Luki-Energiya 4

Cherepovets 1

TBD -

Ural -

Krasnoye Znamya 1

Vladimir 0

TBD -

SKA Khabarovsk -

Amkar 4

Kirov 5

TBD -

Kamaz -

Astrakhan 0

Dynamo Stavropol 1

TBD -

Pari Nizhny Novgorod -

Shinnik Yaroslavl -

TBD -

Torpedo Moscow -

Izberbash 1

Maykop 2

TBD -

Yenisey -

Kursk 1

Kaluga 2

TBD -

Ufa -

FC Chertanovo Moscow 4

KDV Tomsk 2

TBD -

Neftekhimik -

Tekstilshtik -

TBD -

Arsenal Tula -

FC Volgar-Astrakhan 3

Spartak Nalchik 0

TBD -

Ulyanovsk -

FC Murom 3

2Drots 0

TBD -

Veles Moscow -

Dynamo Petersburg 2

Dynamo Vologda 1

TBD -

PFC Sochi -

Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1

Torpedo Miass 0

TBD -

R. Volgograd -

Spartak Tambov 1

Ryazan 2

TBD -

S. Kostroma -

Irtysh Omsk 0

Dynamo Barnaul 5

TBD -

Chelyabinsk -

Quarter-finals

Saratov 1

Leningradets 2

Luki-Energiya 2

Ural 1

Krasnoye Znamya 0

SKA Khabarovsk 4

Kirov 1

Kamaz 0

Dynamo Stavropol 1

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2

Shinnik Yaroslavl 2

Torpedo Moscow 0

Maykop 1

Yenisey 2

Kaluga 1

Ufa 0

FC Chertanovo Moscow 2

Neftekhimik 1

Tekstilshtik 1

Arsenal Tula 0

FC Volgar-Astrakhan 0

Ulyanovsk 1

FC Murom 1

Veles Moscow 0

Dynamo Petersburg 2

PFC Sochi 0

Volna Nizhegorodskaya 2

R. Volgograd 0

Ryazan 0

S. Kostroma 2

Dynamo Barnaul 0

Chelyabinsk 2

Semi-finals

Leningradets -

Luki-Energiya -

SKA Khabarovsk -

Kirov -

Pari Nizhny Novgorod -

Shinnik Yaroslavl -

Yenisey -

Kaluga -

FC Chertanovo Moscow -

Tekstilshtik -

Ulyanovsk -

FC Murom -

Dynamo Petersburg -

Volna Nizhegorodskaya -

S. Kostroma -

Chelyabinsk -

Final

TBD -

FC Chertanovo Moscow vs Neftekhimik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia

FC Chertanovo Moscow

Neftekhimik

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

FC Chertanovo Moscow Compare

Neftekhimik Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

FC Chertanovo Moscow

Neftekhimik

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Install Sokapicks PWA