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FC Chertanovo Moscow vs Zvezda St Peterburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Aliev N.
57' Event
Seitov T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
FC Chertanovo Moscow
15%
Draws
17%
Zvezda St Peterburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Chertanovo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • FC Chertanovo Moscow have won more games recently than Zvezda St Peterburg.
  • Model gives FC Chertanovo Moscow a 68% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
FC Chertanovo Moscow Clean Sheet 68%
Zvezda St Peterburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Chertanovo Moscow Zvezda St Peterburg
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow vs Zvezda St Peterburg
1:1
Apr 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Zvezda St Peterburg vs FC Chertanovo Moscow
0:0
Jul 27, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow vs Zvezda St Peterburg
4:0
Apr 6, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Zvezda St Peterburg vs FC Chertanovo Moscow
2:2
Aug 4, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow vs Zvezda St Peterburg
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Chertanovo Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Seitov T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Zvezda St Peterburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliev N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Chertanovo Moscow 95 / 100
Zvezda St Peterburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Chertanovo Moscow Zvezda St Peterburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Chertanovo Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Chertanovo Moscow found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Zvezda St Peterburg conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

FC Chertanovo Moscow went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Chertanovo Moscow VS Zvezda St Peterburg
2.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Chertanovo Moscow

(Home)
11 Oct
FC Chertanovo Moscow
1 : 0
Baltika 2
04 Oct
Yenisey 2
2 : 1
FC Chertanovo Moscow
21 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
4 : 2
Kosmos
12 Sept
Dynamo Petersburg
1 : 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow
09 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 1
Neftekhimik
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Zvezda St Peterburg

(Away)
11 Oct
Spartak Moscow 2
2 : 3
Zvezda St Peterburg
02 Oct
Zvezda St Peterburg
1 : 8
FK Tver
26 Sept
Iskra Smolensk
3 : 1
Zvezda St Peterburg
18 Sept
Zvezda St Peterburg
0 : 3
FC Murom
14 Sept
Zvezda St Peterburg
0 : 1
Luki-Energiya
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