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FC Chertanovo Moscow vs Zvezda St Peterburg

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Chertanovo Moscow host Zvezda St Peterburg in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2. This one's hard to separate. FC Chertanovo Moscow have averaged 2.38 scored and 0.5 conceded recently, against Zvezda St Peterburg's 1.13 scored and 1.63 conceded. Past meetings favor FC Chertanovo Moscow slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 0.81, favoring FC Chertanovo Moscow. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
FC Chertanovo Moscow
17%
Draws
13%
Zvezda St Peterburg
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: FC Chertanovo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Chertanovo Moscow have won more games recently than Zvezda St Peterburg.
  • Model gives FC Chertanovo Moscow a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
FC Chertanovo Moscow Clean Sheet 68%
Zvezda St Peterburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Chertanovo Moscow Zvezda St Peterburg
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 14
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Zvezda St Peterburg vs FC Chertanovo Moscow
0:0
Jul 27, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow vs Zvezda St Peterburg
4:0
Apr 6, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Zvezda St Peterburg vs FC Chertanovo Moscow
2:2
Aug 4, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow vs Zvezda St Peterburg
1:0
Apr 20, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Zvezda St Peterburg vs FC Chertanovo Moscow
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Chertanovo Moscow 77 / 100
Zvezda St Peterburg 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Chertanovo Moscow Zvezda St Peterburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Chertanovo Moscow found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Zvezda St Peterburg conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

FC Chertanovo Moscow went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

FC Chertanovo Moscow VS Zvezda St Peterburg
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Chertanovo Moscow

(Home)
05 Jul
FC Irkutsk
1 : 1
FC Chertanovo Moscow
28 Jun
FC Chertanovo Moscow
1 : 1
Dynamo Vologda
21 Jun
Baltika 2
1 : 3
FC Chertanovo Moscow
14 Jun
FC Chertanovo Moscow
3 : 1
Yenisey 2
31 May
Kosmos
0 : 3
FC Chertanovo Moscow
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Zvezda St Peterburg

(Away)
04 Jul
Zvezda St Peterburg
1 : 1
Dynamo Petersburg
28 Jun
Cherepovets
0 : 2
Zvezda St Peterburg
23 Jun
Zvezda St Peterburg
2 : 3
Spartak Moscow 2
14 Jun
FK Tver
1 : 2
Zvezda St Peterburg
06 Jun
Zvezda St Peterburg
1 : 1
Iskra Smolensk
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