Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Ciego de Avila vs FC Sancti Spiritus

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Sat, May 3, 2025
3 - 0
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Ciego de Avila host FC Sancti Spiritus in the Liga Nacional. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. FC Ciego de Avila have averaged 0.88 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against FC Sancti Spiritus's 0.38 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, FC Ciego de Avila have won 4 to FC Sancti Spiritus's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 24, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.13 - 0.56) back FC Ciego de Avila to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FC Ciego de Avila
6%
Draws
4%
FC Sancti Spiritus
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Ciego de Avila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Ciego de Avila carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC Ciego de Avila a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FC Ciego de Avila here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58.2%
FC Ciego de Avila Clean Sheet 20%
FC Sancti Spiritus Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ciego de Avila FC Sancti Spiritus
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 3
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 0.88 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Sancti Spiritus vs FC Ciego de Avila
0:0
May 3, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs FC Sancti Spiritus
3:0
Mar 29, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Sancti Spiritus vs FC Ciego de Avila
0:1
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs FC Sancti Spiritus
2:0
Mar 1, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs FC Sancti Spiritus
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ciego de Avila 85 / 100
FC Sancti Spiritus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ciego de Avila FC Sancti Spiritus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Sancti Spiritus let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

FC Ciego de Avila went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: FC Sancti Spiritus has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

FC Ciego de Avila scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Ciego de Avila VS FC Sancti Spiritus
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC La Habana1173121:1224
2Artemisa1244418:1916
3Isla de La Juventud1132610:1611
4Pinar del Rio1023511:139
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos1264220:1122
2FC Villa Clara1264216:722
3Matanzas1233610:1312
4Mayabeque Guines1223711:269
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Las Tunas1271420:1322
2FC Ciego de Avila1262416:920
3FC Camaguey1152417:1417
4FC Sancti Spiritus111373:206
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Guantanamo1283125:627
2FC Santiago de Cuba1143412:1115
3FC Holguin1234512:1913
4CF Granma112279:228