Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Ciego de Avila vs FC Santiago de Cuba

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Santiago de Cuba in this Liga Nacional 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Santiago de Cuba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
FC Ciego de Avila
20%
Draws
38%
FC Santiago de Cuba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Ciego de Avila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Santiago de Cuba lately — more wins on the board than FC Ciego de Avila.
  • Win probability leans FC Ciego de Avila's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Santiago de Cuba have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
FC Ciego de Avila Clean Sheet 20%
FC Santiago de Cuba Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ciego de Avila FC Santiago de Cuba
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 10 17
Draws 6 11
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs FC Santiago de Cuba
1:2
Jul 5, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs FC Ciego de Avila
1:1
Mar 11, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs FC Santiago de Cuba
1:2
Apr 30, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs FC Ciego de Avila
4:0
Mar 12, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs FC Santiago de Cuba
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ciego de Avila 42 / 100
FC Santiago de Cuba 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ciego de Avila FC Santiago de Cuba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Santiago de Cuba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 39 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: FC Ciego de Avila remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

FC Ciego de Avila's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FC Ciego de Avila VS FC Santiago de Cuba
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos761014:219
2FC La Habana752011:217
3Matanzas740311:812
4Artemisa731315:810
5FC Villa Clara72146:117
6Isla de La Juventud72145:107
7Pinar del Rio71246:155
8Mayabeque Guines71064:163
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Santiago de Cuba742114:514
2FC Guantanamo742112:614
3FC Holguin74129:713
4FC Camaguey73319:412
5CF Granma73045:99
6FC Sancti Spiritus72142:67
7FC Ciego de Avila72145:107
8Las Tunas70253:122