Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Ciego de Avila vs Las Tunas

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Ciego de Avila in this Liga Nacional 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Ciego de Avila.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
FC Ciego de Avila
44%
Draws
20%
Las Tunas
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Las Tunas lately — more wins on the board than FC Ciego de Avila.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
FC Ciego de Avila Clean Sheet 20%
Las Tunas Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ciego de Avila Las Tunas
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs Las Tunas
4:0
May 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
Las Tunas vs FC Ciego de Avila
3:0
Apr 19, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs Las Tunas
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Nacional
Las Tunas vs FC Ciego de Avila
2:1
Mar 4, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs Las Tunas
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ciego de Avila 36 / 100
Las Tunas 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ciego de Avila Las Tunas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Las Tunas has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

FC Ciego de Avila has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

FC Ciego de Avila scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Ciego de Avila VS Las Tunas
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos761014:219
2FC La Habana752011:217
3Matanzas740311:812
4Artemisa731315:810
5FC Villa Clara72146:117
6Isla de La Juventud72145:107
7Pinar del Rio71246:155
8Mayabeque Guines71064:163
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Santiago de Cuba742114:514
2FC Guantanamo742112:614
3FC Holguin74129:713
4FC Camaguey73319:412
5CF Granma73045:99
6FC Sancti Spiritus72142:67
7FC Ciego de Avila72145:107
8Las Tunas70253:122