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Stadium Background

FC Ciego de Avila vs Las Tunas

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between FC Ciego de Avila and Las Tunas finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Las Tunas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
FC Ciego de Avila
44%
Draws
20%
Las Tunas
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Las Tunas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
FC Ciego de Avila Clean Sheet 20%
Las Tunas Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ciego de Avila Las Tunas
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs Las Tunas
4:0
May 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
Las Tunas vs FC Ciego de Avila
3:0
Apr 19, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs Las Tunas
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Nacional
Las Tunas vs FC Ciego de Avila
2:1
Mar 4, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs Las Tunas
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ciego de Avila 36 / 100
Las Tunas 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ciego de Avila Las Tunas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Las Tunas conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: FC Ciego de Avila stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

FC Ciego de Avila found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

FC Ciego de Avila VS Las Tunas
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC La Habana1173121:1224
2Artemisa1244418:1916
3Isla de La Juventud1132610:1611
4Pinar del Rio1023511:139
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos1264220:1122
2FC Villa Clara1264216:722
3Matanzas1233610:1312
4Mayabeque Guines1223711:269
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Las Tunas1271420:1322
2FC Ciego de Avila1262416:920
3FC Camaguey1152417:1417
4FC Sancti Spiritus111373:206
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Guantanamo1283125:627
2FC Santiago de Cuba1143412:1115
3FC Holguin1234512:1913
4CF Granma112279:228