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FC Cincinnati 2 vs CT United FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Next Pro NKU Soccer Stadium, Highland Heights, KE
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Match Events

14'
Boamah M.
18' Event
Chirila S.
Assist: Chavez A.
25' Event
Chirila S.
Assist: Ramos Y.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between FC Cincinnati 2 and CT United FC finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CT United FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
FC Cincinnati 2
15%
Draws
57%
CT United FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CT United FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • CT United FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CT United FC's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • CT United FC have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
FC Cincinnati 2 Clean Sheet 10%
CT United FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cincinnati 2 CT United FC
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 16
Draws 0 0
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 1.17 2.18
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 MLS Next Pro
FC Cincinnati 2 vs CT United FC
2:3
Jun 18, 2026 MLS Next Pro
CT United FC vs FC Cincinnati 2
4:0
Mar 1, 2026 MLS Next Pro
FC Cincinnati 2 vs CT United FC
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Cincinnati 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Chirila S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

CT United FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lacy D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Destin B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cincinnati 2 14 / 100
CT United FC 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cincinnati 2 CT United FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CT United FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CT United FC let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.

FC Cincinnati 2 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: CT United FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Cincinnati 2 VS CT United FC
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cincinnati 2

(Home)
20 Sept
FC Cincinnati 2
1 : 2
Crown Legacy
13 Sept
New York Red Bulls II
2 : 1
FC Cincinnati 2
04 Sept
Toronto FC II
2 : 1
FC Cincinnati 2
30 Aug
FC Cincinnati 2
2 : 3
Philadelphia Union II
22 Aug
Carolina Core
1 : 3
FC Cincinnati 2
Page 1 of 6

CT United FC

(Away)
20 Sept
CT United FC
7 : 2
Inter Miami II
13 Sept
New York City II
1 : 0
CT United FC
08 Sept
Atlanta United 2
4 : 1
CT United FC
29 Aug
CT United FC
2 : 4
New York Red Bulls II
23 Aug
Philadelphia Union II
2 : 4
CT United FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)