Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Cincinnati 2 vs Toronto FC II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro NKU Soccer Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Sullivan M.
21'
Sub
Stampatori D. In: Campbell-Dennis R.
Out: Stampatori D.
48' Event
Chirila S.

AI Match Summary

FC Cincinnati 2 in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Cincinnati 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FC Cincinnati 2
6%
Draws
4%
Toronto FC II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Cincinnati 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Toronto FC II have won more games recently than FC Cincinnati 2.
  • Win probability leans FC Cincinnati 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FC Cincinnati 2 Clean Sheet 12%
Toronto FC II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cincinnati 2 Toronto FC II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 0 0
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 MLS Next Pro
FC Cincinnati 2 vs Toronto FC II
5:0
Aug 15, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs FC Cincinnati 2
1:0
Jun 8, 2025 MLS Next Pro
FC Cincinnati 2 vs Toronto FC II
2:1
Mar 9, 2025 MLS Next Pro
FC Cincinnati 2 vs Toronto FC II
0:1
Sep 2, 2024 MLS Next Pro
FC Cincinnati 2 vs Toronto FC II
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Cincinnati 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Chirila S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hurtado D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Toronto FC II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cincinnati 2 83 / 100
Toronto FC II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cincinnati 2 Toronto FC II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toronto FC II's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: FC Cincinnati 2 scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Toronto FC II has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

FC Cincinnati 2 VS Toronto FC II
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 217120531:2734
2New York Red Bulls II18100839:2732
3New England Revolution II16110521:1831
4New York City II1690727:2328
5Philadelphia Union II1890921:2126
6CT United FC1790831:3125
7Toronto FC II18701127:3522
8FC Cincinnati 217501216:3114
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy17120541:2534
2Orlando City B18110739:3233
3Chattanooga18120634:2933
4Atlanta United 21790838:2630
5Chicago Fire II1790827:2427
6Huntsville City17701029:3522
7Carolina Core19501422:3218
8Inter Miami II16101514:415
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 218110723:2234
2Ventura County18100832:2729
3Los Angeles FC 21790828:2829
4San Jose Earthquakes II1690737:1928
5Real Monarchs18100829:3126
6Tacoma Defiance18801019:2424
7Vancouver Whitecaps 219601325:4017
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II17130436:1640
2Houston Dynamo 216130337:1437
3Minnesota United 219100928:3129
4St. Louis City 218100829:3029
5North Texas1670926:2122
6Sporting Kansas City II18401423:5013
7Colorado Rapids 218301516:3512
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 217120531:2734
2Crown Legacy17120541:2534
3Orlando City B18110739:3233
4Chattanooga18120634:2933
5New York Red Bulls II18100839:2732
6New England Revolution II16110521:1831
7Atlanta United 21790838:2630
8New York City II1690727:2328
9Chicago Fire II1790827:2427
10Philadelphia Union II1890921:2126
11CT United FC1790831:3125
12Toronto FC II18701127:3522
13Huntsville City17701029:3522
14Carolina Core19501422:3218
15FC Cincinnati 217501216:3114
16Inter Miami II16101514:415
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II17130436:1640
2Houston Dynamo 216130337:1437
3Portland Timbers 218110723:2234
4Minnesota United 219100928:3129
5Ventura County18100832:2729
6Los Angeles FC 21790828:2829
7St. Louis City 218100829:3029
8San Jose Earthquakes II1690737:1928
9Real Monarchs18100829:3126
10Tacoma Defiance18801019:2424
11North Texas1670926:2122
12Vancouver Whitecaps 219601325:4017
13Sporting Kansas City II18401423:5013
14Colorado Rapids 218301516:3512