Sport Picks
FC Cincinnati vs Atlas
North & Central America
Leagues Cup TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, OH 
Match Events
33'
33'
Ramirez Leon B. J.
44'
44'
Evander
Assist: Ramirez Leon B. J.
46'
46'
Sub
Hernandez S. In: Esteves L.
Out: Hernandez S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Cincinnati
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and FC Cincinnati come out ahead of Atlas on wins alone.
- Model gives FC Cincinnati a 51% chance of winning this.
- FC Cincinnati have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Atlas, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
FC Cincinnati Clean Sheet 68%
Atlas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Cincinnati | Atlas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.7 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 12, 2026 Leagues Cup
FC Cincinnati vs Atlas
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Cincinnati Compare
Top Goalscorer Evander
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Atlas Compare
Top Goalscorer Monzon F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Serrato J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Cincinnati 95 / 100
Atlas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Cincinnati Atlas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Cincinnati Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Cincinnati found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (27 games).
Atlas has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
FC Cincinnati went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Cincinnati VS Atlas
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Cincinnati
(Home) 12 Aug
FC Cincinnati
1 : 2 Atlas
08 Aug
FC Cincinnati
2 : 0 UNAM Pumas
04 Aug
FC Cincinnati
3 : 1 Pachuca
01 Aug
FC Cincinnati
4 : 2 San Jose Earthquakes
25 Jul
Columbus Crew
2 : 1 FC Cincinnati
Page 1 of 6
12 Aug
FC Cincinnati
1 : 2 Atlas
08 Aug
FC Cincinnati
2 : 0 UNAM Pumas
04 Aug
FC Cincinnati
3 : 1 Pachuca
01 Aug
FC Cincinnati
4 : 2 San Jose Earthquakes
22 Jul
FC Cincinnati
4 : 3 Vancouver Whitecaps
Page 1 of 3
Atlas
(Away) 12 Aug
FC Cincinnati
1 : 2 Atlas
07 Aug
Charlotte FC
2 : 0 Atlas
04 Aug
Columbus Crew
3 : 1 Atlas
02 Aug
Atlas
0 : 2 Monterrey
26 Jul
Santos Laguna
0 : 1 Atlas
Page 1 of 6
12 Aug
FC Cincinnati
1 : 2 Atlas
07 Aug
Charlotte FC
2 : 0 Atlas
04 Aug
Columbus Crew
3 : 1 Atlas
26 Jul
Santos Laguna
0 : 1 Atlas
18 Jul
Club Leon
2 : 3 Atlas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Leon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Club America | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 6 | Juarez | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 6 |
| 8 | Guadalajara Chivas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 9 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 10 | Pachuca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 11 | Atlas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 13 | Atlante | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 1 |
| 15 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 16 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 17 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 18 | Puebla | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Fire | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Austin FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 8 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Dallas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 10 | San Diego FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Orlando City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 12 | Minnesota United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 13 | Nashville SC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 14 | Inter Miami | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
| 15 | New York City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 16 | Seattle Sounders | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 17 | Philadelphia Union | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)
