Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Cincinnati host Nashville SC in the MLS. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. FC Cincinnati have averaged 2.13 scored and 1.97 conceded recently, against Nashville SC's 1.9 scored and 0.87 conceded. Past meetings favor FC Cincinnati slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.19 - 2.06) back Nashville SC to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
FC Cincinnati
30%
Draws
37%
Nashville SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nashville SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Nashville SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Nashville SC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
FC Cincinnati Clean Sheet 10%
Nashville SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cincinnati Nashville SC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 18
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 2.13 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.97 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 MLS
Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati
4:0
Sep 13, 2025 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC
2:1
Mar 30, 2025 MLS
Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati
1:2
Sep 22, 2024 MLS
Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati
2:2
May 29, 2024 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cincinnati 26 / 100
Nashville SC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cincinnati Nashville SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nashville SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Cincinnati scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Recent resilience: FC Cincinnati stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Nashville SC has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Cincinnati VS Nashville SC
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cincinnati

(Home)
31 Oct
FC Cincinnati
1 : 0
Philadelphia Union
28 Oct
Inter Miami
2 : 2
FC Cincinnati
24 Oct
DC United
0 : 2
FC Cincinnati
21 Oct
FC Cincinnati
2 : 1
DC United
18 Oct
FC Cincinnati
0 : 2
Columbus Crew
Page 1 of 6

Nashville SC

(Away)
01 Nov
Nashville SC
3 : 2
New York Red Bulls
29 Oct
Nashville SC
0 : 0
Philadelphia Union
24 Oct
CF Montreal
0 : 2
Nashville SC
18 Oct
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 1
Nashville SC
15 Oct
Nashville SC
4 : 0
Sporting Kansas City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 33 18 7 8 72:34 61
2 FC Dallas 33 15 10 8 59:50 55
3 San Jose Earthquakes 33 14 10 9 56:48 52
4 St. Louis City 33 14 9 10 58:48 51
5 Houston Dynamo 33 14 9 10 43:42 51
6 Los Angeles FC 33 12 11 10 51:38 47
7 Los Angeles Galaxy 33 11 11 11 49:55 44
8 Portland Timbers 33 12 7 14 60:61 43
9 Colorado Rapids 33 12 7 14 46:47 43
10 Seattle Sounders 33 11 10 12 42:45 43
11 Real Salt Lake 33 12 6 15 51:51 42
12 Minnesota United 33 10 11 12 53:57 41
13 San Diego FC 33 9 11 13 57:62 38
14 Austin FC 33 8 10 15 42:63 34
15 Sporting Kansas City 33 6 5 22 39:81 23
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 33 22 8 3 69:25 74
2 Inter Miami 33 16 11 6 77:56 59
3 New England Revolution 33 18 4 11 55:46 58
4 Chicago Fire 33 16 7 10 61:50 55
5 Charlotte FC 33 15 8 10 63:48 53
6 Philadelphia Union 33 13 8 12 62:51 47
7 FC Cincinnati 33 12 10 11 67:73 46
8 Columbus Crew 33 13 5 15 55:49 44
9 Orlando City 33 12 7 14 62:78 43
10 New York Red Bulls 33 11 6 16 45:62 39
11 New York City 33 9 12 12 48:45 39
12 Toronto FC 33 9 12 12 51:63 39
13 Atlanta United 33 9 6 18 43:57 33
14 DC United 33 7 12 14 39:60 33
15 CF Montreal 33 6 8 19 37:67 26
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)