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FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
FC Cincinnati Logo

FC Cincinnati

1 - 0
FT
Philadelphia Union Logo

Philadelphia Union

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Gidi S. In: Evander
Out: Gidi S.
60'
Sub
Alladoh E. In: Sullivan C.
Out: Alladoh E.
60'
Sub
Bender B. In: Bueno J.
Out: Bender B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Cincinnati.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
FC Cincinnati
30%
Draws
23%
Philadelphia Union
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Cincinnati

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Cincinnati's 2.13 goals per match outpaces what Philadelphia Union have produced (2.03).
  • Win probability leans FC Cincinnati's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
FC Cincinnati Clean Sheet 68%
Philadelphia Union Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cincinnati Philadelphia Union
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.13 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union
1:0
Sep 9, 2026 MLS
Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati
5:0
Aug 30, 2025 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union
0:1
Mar 2, 2025 MLS
Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati
4:1
Feb 7, 2025 Club Friendly
FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Cincinnati Compare

Top Goalscorer Jabbari A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Philadelphia Union Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cincinnati 50 / 100
Philadelphia Union 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cincinnati Philadelphia Union

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Cincinnati Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cincinnati's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Philadelphia Union conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: FC Cincinnati remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Cincinnati VS Philadelphia Union
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cincinnati

(Home)
31 Oct
FC Cincinnati
1 : 0
Philadelphia Union
28 Oct
Inter Miami
2 : 2
FC Cincinnati
24 Oct
DC United
0 : 2
FC Cincinnati
21 Oct
FC Cincinnati
2 : 1
DC United
18 Oct
FC Cincinnati
0 : 2
Columbus Crew
Page 1 of 6

Philadelphia Union

(Away)
31 Oct
FC Cincinnati
1 : 0
Philadelphia Union
29 Oct
Nashville SC
0 : 0
Philadelphia Union
24 Oct
Philadelphia Union
1 : 2
New England Revolution
17 Oct
Philadelphia Union
2 : 2
Charlotte FC
15 Oct
Chicago Fire
1 : 3
Philadelphia Union
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 33 18 7 8 72:34 61
2 FC Dallas 33 15 10 8 59:50 55
3 San Jose Earthquakes 33 14 10 9 56:48 52
4 St. Louis City 33 14 9 10 58:48 51
5 Houston Dynamo 33 14 9 10 43:42 51
6 Los Angeles FC 33 12 11 10 51:38 47
7 Los Angeles Galaxy 33 11 11 11 49:55 44
8 Portland Timbers 33 12 7 14 60:61 43
9 Colorado Rapids 33 12 7 14 46:47 43
10 Seattle Sounders 33 11 10 12 42:45 43
11 Real Salt Lake 33 12 6 15 51:51 42
12 Minnesota United 33 10 11 12 53:57 41
13 San Diego FC 33 9 11 13 57:62 38
14 Austin FC 33 8 10 15 42:63 34
15 Sporting Kansas City 33 6 5 22 39:81 23
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 33 22 8 3 69:25 74
2 Inter Miami 33 16 11 6 77:56 59
3 New England Revolution 33 18 4 11 55:46 58
4 Chicago Fire 33 16 7 10 61:50 55
5 Charlotte FC 33 15 8 10 63:48 53
6 Philadelphia Union 33 13 8 12 62:51 47
7 FC Cincinnati 33 12 10 11 67:73 46
8 Columbus Crew 33 13 5 15 55:49 44
9 Orlando City 33 12 7 14 62:78 43
10 New York Red Bulls 33 11 6 16 45:62 39
11 New York City 33 9 12 12 48:45 39
12 Toronto FC 33 9 12 12 51:63 39
13 Atlanta United 33 9 6 18 43:57 33
14 DC United 33 7 12 14 39:60 33
15 CF Montreal 33 6 8 19 37:67 26
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)