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FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus Prediction & H2H Stats

Denmark Denmark

Superliga Parken Stadium, Copenhagen
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Copenhagen host Aarhus in the Superliga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Aarhus have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while FC Copenhagen have conceded 1 and scored 2.76. Past meetings favor Aarhus slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 1.19) point toward FC Copenhagen. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
FC Copenhagen
20%
Draws
20%
Aarhus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Copenhagen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • FC Copenhagen have won more games recently than Aarhus.
  • Win probability leans FC Copenhagen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
FC Copenhagen Clean Sheet 20%
Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Copenhagen Aarhus
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 23 9
Draws 4 10
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 2.76 1.72
Goals Conceded 1 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Aarhus vs FC Copenhagen
4:0
Nov 30, 2025 Superliga
Aarhus vs FC Copenhagen
2:0
Aug 8, 2025 Superliga
FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus
2:3
Apr 27, 2025 Superliga
Aarhus vs FC Copenhagen
1:3
Apr 21, 2025 Superliga
FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Copenhagen 85 / 100
Aarhus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Copenhagen Aarhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Copenhagen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Copenhagen's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Aarhus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: FC Copenhagen remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Copenhagen VS Aarhus
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Copenhagen

(Home)
20 Sept
Brondby
0 : 1
FC Copenhagen
15 Sept
Skovshoved
0 : 3
FC Copenhagen
11 Sept
FC Copenhagen
2 : 0
Horsens
06 Sept
Odense
0 : 5
FC Copenhagen
03 Sept
FC Copenhagen
2 : 0
Nordsjaelland
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Aarhus

(Away)
20 Sept
Horsens
2 : 2
Aarhus
16 Sept
Skjold
1 : 6
Aarhus
13 Sept
Nordsjaelland
2 : 0
Aarhus
05 Sept
Aarhus
2 : 2
Silkeborg
02 Sept
Aarhus
0 : 2
Midtjylland
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Copenhagen 9 8 0 1 23:8 24
2 Midtjylland 9 5 4 0 17:9 19
3 Viborg 9 5 2 2 15:8 17
4 Nordsjaelland 9 5 2 2 14:10 17
5 Brondby 9 4 1 4 12:15 13
6 Horsens 9 3 2 4 15:16 11
7 Silkeborg 9 2 4 3 12:12 10
8 Randers FC 9 3 1 5 11:14 10
9 Odense 9 2 3 4 8:14 9
10 Lyngby 9 1 4 4 10:16 7
11 Aarhus 9 0 5 4 11:17 5
12 Sonderjyske 9 1 2 6 12:21 5
Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Superliga (Relegation Group)