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FC Dallas vs Austin FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Toyota Stadium, Frisco, TX
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Desler M.
35'
Moore S.
48'
Rosales J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
FC Dallas
35%
Draws
23%
Austin FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Dallas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • FC Dallas have won more games recently than Austin FC.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FC Dallas Clean Sheet 15%
Austin FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Dallas Austin FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.82 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 MLS
FC Dallas vs Austin FC
0:0
Aug 17, 2026 MLS
Austin FC vs FC Dallas
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 MLS
FC Dallas vs Austin FC
2:0
Aug 17, 2025 MLS
Austin FC vs FC Dallas
1:1
Jul 18, 2024 MLS
FC Dallas vs Austin FC
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Dallas 30 / 100
Austin FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Dallas Austin FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Dallas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: FC Dallas remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

FC Dallas found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Austin FC let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

FC Dallas VS Austin FC
2 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Dallas

(Home)
27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0
Los Angeles FC
20 Sept
FC Dallas
0 : 0
Austin FC
13 Sept
FC Dallas
2 : 1
Portland Timbers
10 Sept
Minnesota United
1 : 2
FC Dallas
06 Sept
FC Dallas
4 : 3
Sporting Kansas City
Page 1 of 6

Austin FC

(Away)
27 Sept
Austin FC
3 : 3
San Diego FC
20 Sept
FC Dallas
0 : 0
Austin FC
13 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 2
Austin FC
10 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1
Colorado Rapids
06 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1
San Jose Earthquakes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
3 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
4 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
13 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)