Sport Picks
FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Toyota Stadium, Frisco, TX 
Match Events
45'
45'
Farrington L.
Assist: Moore S.
47'
47'
Kaick
56'
56'
Sub
Ortiz J. In: Lassiter A.
Out: Ortiz J.
AI Match Summary
FC Dallas in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Dallas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
20%
19%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Dallas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to FC Dallas lately — more wins on the board than Portland Timbers.
- Model gives FC Dallas a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
FC Dallas Clean Sheet 10%
Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Dallas | Portland Timbers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 MLS
FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers
2:1
Jul 23, 2026 MLS
Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 MLS
Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas
2:2
Aug 10, 2025 MLS
FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers
2:0
Oct 6, 2024 MLS
Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Dallas Compare
Top Goalscorer Farrington L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Valiente J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Portland Timbers Compare
Top Goalscorer Lassiter A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Dallas 34 / 100
Portland Timbers 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Dallas Portland Timbers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portland Timbers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 28 matches.
Recent resilience: FC Dallas stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: FC Dallas scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
FC Dallas VS Portland Timbers
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Dallas
(Home) 27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0 Los Angeles FC
20 Sept
FC Dallas
0 : 0 Austin FC
13 Sept
FC Dallas
2 : 1 Portland Timbers
10 Sept
Minnesota United
1 : 2 FC Dallas
06 Sept
FC Dallas
4 : 3 Sporting Kansas City
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0 Los Angeles FC
20 Sept
FC Dallas
0 : 0 Austin FC
13 Sept
FC Dallas
2 : 1 Portland Timbers
06 Sept
FC Dallas
4 : 3 Sporting Kansas City
06 Aug
FC Dallas
2 : 0 Queretaro
Page 1 of 3
Portland Timbers
(Away) 27 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
3 : 1 Portland Timbers
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1 Atlanta United
13 Sept
FC Dallas
2 : 1 Portland Timbers
10 Sept
Portland Timbers
2 : 2 St. Louis City
06 Sept
Portland Timbers
5 : 4 Minnesota United
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
3 : 1 Portland Timbers
13 Sept
FC Dallas
2 : 1 Portland Timbers
23 Aug
Los Angeles FC
1 : 1 Portland Timbers
16 Aug
Chicago Fire
2 : 1 Portland Timbers
10 Aug
Club America
3 : 1 Portland Timbers
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:29 | 50 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50:42 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 45 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34:32 | 44 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:30 | 41 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35:35 | 38 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38:38 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:44 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47:47 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35:47 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40:49 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 32:65 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 60 |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51:40 | 48 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:36 | 46 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64:50 | 46 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47:38 | 43 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48:64 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34:51 | 33 |
| 9 | New York City | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 42:38 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55:64 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41:52 | 32 |
| 12 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34:42 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39:43 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:45 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35:56 | 24 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
