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FC Dallas vs Queretaro Prediction & H2H Stats

North & Central America North & Central America

Leagues Cup Texas Health Mansfield Stadium, Mansfield
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Sub
Julio Santos A. A. In: Musa P.
Out: Julio Santos A. A.
45'
Abascia L.
46'
Sub
Holstad C. In: Kaick
Out: Holstad C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
FC Dallas
20%
Draws
35%
Queretaro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Dallas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • FC Dallas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FC Dallas are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • FC Dallas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Dallas, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FC Dallas Clean Sheet 15%
Queretaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Dallas Queretaro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.8 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Leagues Cup
FC Dallas vs Queretaro
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Dallas Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valiente J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Queretaro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Dallas 41 / 100
Queretaro 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Dallas Queretaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Dallas has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

FC Dallas found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Queretaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

FC Dallas VS Queretaro
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Dallas

(Home)
27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0
Los Angeles FC
20 Sept
FC Dallas
0 : 0
Austin FC
13 Sept
FC Dallas
2 : 1
Portland Timbers
10 Sept
Minnesota United
1 : 2
FC Dallas
06 Sept
FC Dallas
4 : 3
Sporting Kansas City
Page 1 of 6

Queretaro

(Away)
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 2
Queretaro
21 Sept
Queretaro
1 : 1
Club Leon
12 Sept
Club Tijuana
0 : 1
Queretaro
29 Aug
Atlas
1 : 3
Queretaro
22 Aug
Queretaro
1 : 2
Toluca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Leon 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
2 Club America 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toluca 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Monterrey 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
5 Cruz Azul 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
6 Juarez 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
7 Tigres UANL 3 3 0 0 2:2 6
8 Guadalajara Chivas 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
9 Santos Laguna 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
10 Pachuca 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
11 Atlas 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
12 Necaxa 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
13 Atlante 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
14 Atletico San Luis 3 0 0 3 5:10 1
15 UNAM Pumas 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
16 Queretaro 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
17 Club Tijuana 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
18 Puebla 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chicago Fire 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Austin FC 3 3 0 0 6:1 8
3 Columbus Crew 3 3 0 0 6:3 8
4 Real Salt Lake 3 2 0 1 8:1 7
5 Los Angeles FC 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
6 Charlotte FC 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
7 Portland Timbers 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
8 FC Cincinnati 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
9 FC Dallas 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
10 San Diego FC 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
11 Orlando City 3 2 0 1 5:5 5
12 Minnesota United 3 1 0 2 4:3 4
13 Nashville SC 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
14 Inter Miami 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
15 New York City 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
16 Seattle Sounders 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
17 Philadelphia Union 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
18 Vancouver Whitecaps 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)