Sport Picks
FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Toyota Stadium, Frisco, TX 
AI Match Summary
FC Dallas host San Jose Earthquakes in the MLS. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. FC Dallas have averaged 1.83 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against San Jose Earthquakes's 1.79 scored and 1.62 conceded. Past meetings favor FC Dallas slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.44) point toward FC Dallas. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to FC Dallas lately — more wins on the board than San Jose Earthquakes.
- Model gives FC Dallas a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Dallas | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Dallas's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
San Jose Earthquakes let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: FC Dallas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
FC Dallas
(Home)San Jose Earthquakes
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 63:31 | 55 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 56:41 | 51 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 55:47 | 51 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 52:42 | 48 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:39 | 47 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 48:33 | 46 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 39:37 | 42 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 43:52 | 40 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 41:41 | 39 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 45:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 51:56 | 34 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 53:56 | 34 |
| 13 | Minnesota United | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 47:55 | 34 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 38:56 | 31 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 36:75 | 22 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 64:23 | 67 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 73:51 | 55 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 49:41 | 52 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 52:44 | 48 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 53:45 | 47 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 61:48 | 46 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 58:70 | 41 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 39:56 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 60:70 | 36 |
| 10 | Toronto FC | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 46:55 | 36 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 46:47 | 35 |
| 12 | New York City | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43:41 | 34 |
| 13 | DC United | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 37:51 | 33 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 37:51 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 36:60 | 25 |
