Sport Picks
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs FK Daugava Riga
Latvia
Virslīga 2014 Daugavas stadions, Daugavpils 
Match Events
19'
19'
Zils V.
45'
45'
Savenas M.
(Penalty)
49'
49'
Kosmacovs J.
AI Match Summary
The Virslīga 2014 game between FC Daugava Daugavpils and FK Daugava Riga finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Daugava Daugavpils
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- FC Daugava Daugavpils carry the better recent record into this one.
- FC Daugava Daugavpils are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
FC Daugava Daugavpils Clean Sheet 68%
FK Daugava Riga Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Daugava Daugavpils | FK Daugava Riga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 26 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 28, 2014 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
1:4
Jul 28, 2014 Virsliga
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs FK Daugava Riga
2:2
Jun 1, 2014 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
0:1
Apr 13, 2014 Virsliga
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs FK Daugava Riga
1:0
Feb 17, 2014 League Cup
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs FK Daugava Riga
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Daugava Daugavpils Compare
Top Goalscorer Kosmacovs J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ignatans V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
FK Daugava Riga Compare
Top Goalscorer Zils V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Daugava Daugavpils 86 / 100
FK Daugava Riga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Daugava Daugavpils FK Daugava Riga
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Daugava Daugavpils Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FK Daugava Riga's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
FC Daugava Daugavpils scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
FK Daugava Riga let in goals in 76% of their last 25 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
FC Daugava Daugavpils VS FK Daugava Riga
1.86 Goals Scored 1.13
1.29 Goals Conceded 2.13
57% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 75%
57% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Daugava Daugavpils
(Home) 08 Nov
Ventspils
4 : 0 FC Daugava Daugavpils
01 Nov
FK Liepaja
3 : 2 FC Daugava Daugavpils
26 Oct
FC Daugava Daugavpils
5 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
17 Oct
FK Metta
0 : 1 FC Daugava Daugavpils
04 Oct
FC Daugava Daugavpils
0 : 1 Skonto
Page 1 of 7
26 Oct
FC Daugava Daugavpils
5 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
04 Oct
FC Daugava Daugavpils
0 : 1 Skonto
20 Sept
FC Daugava Daugavpils
1 : 0 Jelgava
22 Aug
FC Daugava Daugavpils
1 : 1 Ventspils
16 Aug
FC Daugava Daugavpils
3 : 1 FK Liepaja
Page 1 of 3
FK Daugava Riga
(Away) 04 Apr
Jelgava
: FK Daugava Riga
08 Nov
Skonto
4 : 1 FK Daugava Riga
01 Nov
FK Daugava Riga
1 : 3 Jelgava
26 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
1 : 0 FK Daugava Riga
20 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
2 : 4 FK Liepaja
Page 1 of 6
04 Apr
Jelgava
: FK Daugava Riga
08 Nov
Skonto
4 : 1 FK Daugava Riga
26 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
1 : 0 FK Daugava Riga
03 Oct
FK Metta
1 : 2 FK Daugava Riga
13 Sept
Ventspils
0 : 0 FK Daugava Riga
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ventspils | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 75:20 | 83 |
| 2 | Skonto | 36 | 25 | 1 | 10 | 77:34 | 71 |
| 3 | Jelgava | 36 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 57:27 | 70 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 36 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 72:45 | 66 |
| 5 | FC Daugava Daugavpils | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 53:39 | 65 |
| 6 | Spartaks Jurmala | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 38:32 | 51 |
| 7 | FK Daugava Riga | 36 | 13 | 4 | 19 | 48:64 | 43 |
| 8 | BFC Daugavpils | 36 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 29 |
| 9 | FK Metta | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26:69 | 16 |
| 10 | FC Jurmala | 36 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 29:110 | 7 |
Relegation - Virslīga 2014 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
