Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato Nacional 2024 game between FC Derby and Ultramarina finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Derby.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- FC Derby carry the better recent record into this one.
- 54% — that's where the model lands on FC Derby taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Derby | Ultramarina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Derby Compare
Ultramarina Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ultramarina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
FC Derby scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
FC Derby went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
FC Derby
(Home)Ultramarina
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academico do Sal | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 2 | Academica do Fogo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 8 |
| 3 | Rosariense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Juventude | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:12 | 6 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeira | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:5 | 12 |
| 2 | Morabeza | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Barreirense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 4 | GD Varandinha | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7:15 | 2 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boavista da Praia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 16 |
| 2 | FC Derby | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 11 |
| 3 | Ultramarina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 4 | Sanjoanenses | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | 2 |
