Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Dunbeholden vs Treasure Beach

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Dunbeholden Sports Complex, Portmore
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Porter R.
40' Event
Binns D.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Binns D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between FC Dunbeholden and Treasure Beach finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Dunbeholden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
FC Dunbeholden
15%
Draws
68%
Treasure Beach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Treasure Beach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • FC Dunbeholden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Treasure Beach's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
FC Dunbeholden Clean Sheet 24%
Treasure Beach Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Dunbeholden Treasure Beach
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.16 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs FC Dunbeholden
1:0
Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
FC Dunbeholden vs Treasure Beach
4:2
Jan 7, 2026 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs FC Dunbeholden
0:4
Feb 11, 2024 Premier League
FC Dunbeholden vs Treasure Beach
1:1
Nov 19, 2023 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs FC Dunbeholden
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Dunbeholden Compare

Top Goalscorer Barnett S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Treasure Beach Compare

Top Goalscorer Porter R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Dunbeholden 10 / 100
Treasure Beach 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Dunbeholden Treasure Beach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treasure Beach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Dunbeholden's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Treasure Beach's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

FC Dunbeholden has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Dunbeholden VS Treasure Beach
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Dunbeholden

(Home)
06 May
Waterhouse
4 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
03 May
FC Dunbeholden
0 : 5
Mount Pleasant
26 Apr
Treasure Beach
1 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
23 Apr
FC Dunbeholden
4 : 0
Harbour View
19 Apr
Tivoli
2 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
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Treasure Beach

(Away)
06 May
Treasure Beach
0 : 2
Molynes United
03 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2
Treasure Beach
30 Apr
Treasure Beach
4 : 2
Tivoli
26 Apr
Treasure Beach
1 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
24 Apr
Waterhouse
1 : 2
Treasure Beach
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)