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FC Ekibastuz vs Aktobe 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Aitpakayev A.
Assist: Kushkumbayev D.
43' Event
Zheksenbay Z.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this First League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
FC Ekibastuz
15%
Draws
42%
Aktobe 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Ekibastuz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Aktobe 2 haven't matched FC Ekibastuz's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 10%
Aktobe 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ekibastuz Aktobe 2
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.31 1.86
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 First League
Aktobe 2 vs FC Ekibastuz
0:2
May 8, 2026 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Aktobe 2
1:1
Jul 24, 2025 First League
Aktobe 2 vs FC Ekibastuz
2:5
Apr 24, 2025 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Aktobe 2
3:3
Aug 2, 2024 First League
Aktobe 2 vs FC Ekibastuz
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Ekibastuz Compare

Top Goalscorer Aitpakayev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Aktobe 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zheksenbay Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ekibastuz 29 / 100
Aktobe 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ekibastuz Aktobe 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Ekibastuz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aktobe 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

FC Ekibastuz's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Aktobe 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Ekibastuz VS Aktobe 2
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Ekibastuz

(Home)
03 Sept
Arys
3 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
20 Aug
Akademiya Ontustik
3 : 2
FC Ekibastuz
14 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
3 : 1
Jaiyq
06 Aug
Aktobe 2
0 : 2
FC Ekibastuz
Page 1 of 6

Aktobe 2

(Away)
03 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
2 : 1
Aktobe 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
20 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 5
Aktobe 2
13 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 6
Shakhter Karagandy
06 Aug
Aktobe 2
0 : 2
FC Ekibastuz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 21 19 1 1 62:7 58
2 Kairat Almaty 2 21 16 4 1 62:10 52
3 Turan 21 14 2 5 44:19 44
4 Akademiya Ontustik 21 12 3 6 35:27 39
5 Jaiyq 21 9 3 9 20:24 30
6 FC Astana 2 21 9 2 10 33:40 29
7 Taraz 21 8 4 9 27:29 28
8 FC Ekibastuz 21 7 5 9 29:41 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 21 7 4 10 28:36 25
10 Khan Tengri 21 7 3 11 26:39 24
11 Aktobe 2 21 6 5 10 36:62 23
12 Arys 21 5 3 13 23:41 18
13 Yelimay Semey 2 21 3 3 15 16:42 12
14 Tobol 2 21 2 4 15 32:56 10
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