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FC Ekibastuz vs Jaiyq Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Baurzhan M.
Assist: Altynkhan A.
33' Event
Yakudi K.
Assist: Umbetov T.
90' Event
Mukhit A.
Assist: Temershi E.

AI Match Summary

FC Ekibastuz in this First League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Ekibastuz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Ekibastuz
20%
Draws
80%
Jaiyq
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jaiyq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Ekibastuz average 1.31 goals a game right now, well clear of Jaiyq's 0.92.
  • Jaiyq are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 11%
Jaiyq Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ekibastuz Jaiyq
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.31 0.92
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Jaiyq
3:1
May 15, 2026 First League
Jaiyq vs FC Ekibastuz
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Ekibastuz Compare

Top Goalscorer Baurzhan M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mukhit A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Jaiyq Compare

Top Goalscorer Yakudi K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ekibastuz 10 / 100
Jaiyq 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ekibastuz Jaiyq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaiyq Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Ekibastuz scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Jaiyq let in goals in 58% of their last 24 matches.

Jaiyq's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Ekibastuz VS Jaiyq
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Ekibastuz

(Home)
18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
11 Sept
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 5
Tobol 2
03 Sept
Arys
3 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
20 Aug
Akademiya Ontustik
3 : 2
FC Ekibastuz
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Jaiyq

(Away)
17 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
0 : 0
Jaiyq
11 Sept
Jaiyq
1 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
04 Sept
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Yelimay Semey 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
21 Aug
Jaiyq
0 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 17:47 12
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