Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Ekibastuz vs Yelimay Semey 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Mukhit A.
Assist: Kushkumbayev D.
56' Event
Mukhit A.
Assist: Abaev F.
79' Event
Nuradilov N.
Assist: Zhilin A.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between FC Ekibastuz and Yelimay Semey 2 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Ekibastuz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
FC Ekibastuz
15%
Draws
0%
Yelimay Semey 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Ekibastuz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Ekibastuz come out ahead of Yelimay Semey 2 on wins alone.
  • 0% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 11%
Yelimay Semey 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ekibastuz Yelimay Semey 2
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 9 3
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.31 0.79
Goals Conceded 2.31 2.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Yelimay Semey 2
2:1
Apr 30, 2026 First League
Yelimay Semey 2 vs FC Ekibastuz
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Ekibastuz Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukhit A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Yelimay Semey 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nuradilov N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ekibastuz 30 / 100
Yelimay Semey 2 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ekibastuz Yelimay Semey 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yelimay Semey 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Yelimay Semey 2 conceded in 92% of 24 recent games.

Yelimay Semey 2's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

FC Ekibastuz scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

FC Ekibastuz VS Yelimay Semey 2
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
3 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Ekibastuz

(Home)
09 Oct
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 1
Khan Tengri
18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
11 Sept
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 5
Tobol 2
03 Sept
Arys
3 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
Page 1 of 6

Yelimay Semey 2

(Away)
08 Oct
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 3
Arys
18 Sept
Turan
4 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
10 Sept
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 1
Akademiya Ontustik
04 Sept
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Yelimay Semey 2
27 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3
Shakhter Karagandy
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 24 17 6 1 67:13 57
3 Turan 24 16 3 5 52:22 51
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 24 9 5 10 22:27 32
7 Taraz 24 8 7 9 31:33 31
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
Promotion - Premier League 2027 (Main)