Sport Picks
FC Emmen vs De Graafschap - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen 
Match Events
7'
7'
Kania J.
Assist: Martens N.
18'
18'
Sub
Meerstadt J. In: Bolk G.
Out: Meerstadt J.
29'
29'
Cooper-Love J.
AI Match Summary
De Graafschap in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored De Graafschap.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Emmen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to FC Emmen lately — more wins on the board than De Graafschap.
- FC Emmen are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
FC Emmen Clean Sheet 16%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Emmen | De Graafschap |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 2.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs De Graafschap
1:2
Apr 24, 2026 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs De Graafschap
1:0
Sep 5, 2025 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs FC Emmen
2:3
Jan 24, 2025 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs FC Emmen
4:0
Nov 25, 2024 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs De Graafschap
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Emmen Compare
Top Goalscorer Cooper-Love J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
De Graafschap Compare
Top Goalscorer Kania J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Warmerdam D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Emmen 39 / 100
De Graafschap 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Emmen De Graafschap
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick EMMF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
De Graafschap's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
FC Emmen scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
FC Emmen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
FC Emmen VS De Graafschap
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Emmen
(Home) 17 Oct
FC Emmen
2 : 1 Almere City
09 Oct
Dordrecht
0 : 3 FC Emmen
03 Oct
Waalwijk
1 : 1 FC Emmen
26 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 0 TOP Oss
18 Sept
Eindhoven FC
3 : 1 FC Emmen
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
FC Emmen
2 : 1 Almere City
26 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 0 TOP Oss
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2 De Graafschap
04 Sept
FC Emmen
5 : 3 FC Volendam
21 Aug
FC Emmen
3 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 4
De Graafschap
(Away) 19 Oct
Jong Ajax
2 : 1 De Graafschap
09 Oct
De Graafschap
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
03 Oct
Eindhoven FC
2 : 2 De Graafschap
27 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 0 Den Bosch
20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2 NAC Breda
Page 1 of 6
19 Oct
Jong Ajax
2 : 1 De Graafschap
03 Oct
Eindhoven FC
2 : 2 De Graafschap
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2 De Graafschap
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0 De Graafschap
23 Aug
Venlo
2 : 1 De Graafschap
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 36:13 | 28 |
| 2 | Almere City | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 23:9 | 22 |
| 3 | Venlo | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 30:18 | 22 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24:19 | 22 |
| 5 | NAC Breda | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22:19 | 20 |
| 6 | Roda | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 19 |
| 7 | Vitesse | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:15 | 17 |
| 8 | FC Volendam | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23:18 | 16 |
| 9 | Maastricht | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:25 | 16 |
| 10 | Waalwijk | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 20:16 | 15 |
| 11 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 26:22 | 14 |
| 12 | Den Bosch | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 13 | Jong PSV | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:18 | 13 |
| 14 | TOP Oss | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16:17 | 12 |
| 15 | Eindhoven FC | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:23 | 11 |
| 16 | Jong Ajax | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:26 | 11 |
| 17 | De Graafschap | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:25 | 11 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:27 | 11 |
| 19 | Helmond Sport | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:21 | 9 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17:25 | 7 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
