Sport Picks
FC Emmen vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen 
Match Events
4'
4'
Van Hove B.
40'
40'
Mukeh J.
46'
46'
Sub
Sin M. In: Johannessen T.
Out: Sin M.
AI Match Summary
FC Emmen in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Emmen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Emmen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- FC Emmen haven't matched Jong AZ Alkmaar's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans FC Emmen's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
FC Emmen Clean Sheet 10%
Jong AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Emmen | Jong AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 2.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
3:1
Mar 9, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs FC Emmen
2:3
Nov 28, 2025 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
4:2
Apr 18, 2025 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:4
Dec 13, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs FC Emmen
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Emmen Compare
Top Goalscorer Amadin N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Quispel F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Jong AZ Alkmaar Compare
Top Goalscorer van den Ban Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Emmen 65 / 100
Jong AZ Alkmaar 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Emmen Jong AZ Alkmaar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick EMMF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Jong AZ Alkmaar conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.
FC Emmen scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
FC Emmen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
FC Emmen VS Jong AZ Alkmaar
2 Goals Scored 3.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Emmen
(Home) 30 Aug
Venlo
4 : 0 FC Emmen
21 Aug
FC Emmen
3 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
17 Aug
Jong Ajax
4 : 6 FC Emmen
07 Aug
FC Emmen
1 : 0 Roda
01 Aug
FC Emmen
4 : 0 Almere City
Page 1 of 6
21 Aug
FC Emmen
3 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
07 Aug
FC Emmen
1 : 0 Roda
01 Aug
FC Emmen
4 : 0 Almere City
24 Jul
FC Emmen
0 : 3 Twente
24 Apr
FC Emmen
1 : 0 De Graafschap
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Jong AZ Alkmaar
(Away) 31 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
28 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1 : 2 Maastricht
21 Aug
FC Emmen
3 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
17 Aug
De Graafschap
2 : 5 Jong AZ Alkmaar
10 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1 Eindhoven FC
Page 1 of 6
21 Aug
FC Emmen
3 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
17 Aug
De Graafschap
2 : 5 Jong AZ Alkmaar
01 Aug
IJsselmeervogels
1 : 7 Jong AZ Alkmaar
28 Jul
Quick Boys
1 : 4 Jong AZ Alkmaar
25 Jul
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 3 Jong AZ Alkmaar
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16:7 | 12 |
| 2 | Maastricht | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Almere City | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Venlo | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 9 |
| 5 | FC Emmen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 6 | Jong PSV | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 7 | Vitesse | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 8 | Roda | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 10 | FC Volendam | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 13 | Den Bosch | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9:10 | 4 |
| 14 | Dordrecht | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:10 | 4 |
| 15 | Jong Ajax | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | 4 |
| 16 | TOP Oss | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 17 | Eindhoven FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 2 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:12 | 1 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5:15 | 0 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
