Sport Picks
FC Emmen vs Jong AZ Alkmaar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen 
Match Events
4'
4'
Van Hove B.
40'
40'
Mukeh J.
46'
46'
Sub
Sin M. In: Johannessen T.
Out: Sin M.
AI Match Summary
FC Emmen in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Emmen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Emmen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Jong AZ Alkmaar at 2.19 per game, FC Emmen at 1.66.
- Win probability leans FC Emmen's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
FC Emmen Clean Sheet 10%
Jong AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Emmen | Jong AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 2.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
3:1
Mar 9, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs FC Emmen
2:3
Nov 28, 2025 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
4:2
Apr 18, 2025 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:4
Dec 13, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs FC Emmen
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Emmen Compare
Top Goalscorer Amadin N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Quispel F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Jong AZ Alkmaar Compare
Top Goalscorer van den Ban Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Emmen 38 / 100
Jong AZ Alkmaar 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Emmen Jong AZ Alkmaar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick EMMF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Jong AZ Alkmaar conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.
FC Emmen scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
FC Emmen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
FC Emmen VS Jong AZ Alkmaar
1.88 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Emmen
(Home) 17 Oct
FC Emmen
2 : 1 Almere City
09 Oct
Dordrecht
0 : 3 FC Emmen
03 Oct
Waalwijk
1 : 1 FC Emmen
26 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 0 TOP Oss
18 Sept
Eindhoven FC
3 : 1 FC Emmen
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
FC Emmen
2 : 1 Almere City
26 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 0 TOP Oss
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2 De Graafschap
04 Sept
FC Emmen
5 : 3 FC Volendam
21 Aug
FC Emmen
3 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 4
Jong AZ Alkmaar
(Away) 16 Oct
Venlo
4 : 4 Jong AZ Alkmaar
09 Oct
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1 Den Bosch
18 Sept
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1 FC Volendam
14 Sept
Jong PSV
1 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2 Jong AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 6
16 Oct
Venlo
4 : 4 Jong AZ Alkmaar
14 Sept
Jong PSV
1 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2 Jong AZ Alkmaar
05 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 6 Jong AZ Alkmaar
21 Aug
FC Emmen
3 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 36:13 | 28 |
| 2 | Almere City | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 23:9 | 22 |
| 3 | Venlo | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 30:18 | 22 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24:19 | 22 |
| 5 | NAC Breda | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22:19 | 20 |
| 6 | Roda | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 19 |
| 7 | Vitesse | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:15 | 17 |
| 8 | FC Volendam | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23:18 | 16 |
| 9 | Maastricht | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:25 | 16 |
| 10 | Waalwijk | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 20:16 | 15 |
| 11 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 26:22 | 14 |
| 12 | Den Bosch | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 13 | Jong PSV | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:18 | 13 |
| 14 | TOP Oss | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16:17 | 12 |
| 15 | Eindhoven FC | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:23 | 11 |
| 16 | Jong Ajax | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:26 | 11 |
| 17 | De Graafschap | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:25 | 11 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:27 | 11 |
| 19 | Helmond Sport | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:21 | 9 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17:25 | 7 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
