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FC Emmen vs Maastricht - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
03:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Emmen host Maastricht in the Eerste Divisie. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. FC Emmen have averaged 1.73 scored and 1.7 conceded recently, against Maastricht's 1.1 scored and 2.03 conceded. Past meetings favor FC Emmen slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (2.25 - 0.94) back FC Emmen to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
FC Emmen
20%
Draws
6%
Maastricht
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Emmen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • FC Emmen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC Emmen a 74% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
FC Emmen Clean Sheet 20%
Maastricht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Emmen Maastricht
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.73 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs Maastricht
2:1
Sep 26, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs FC Emmen
1:0
Mar 28, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs FC Emmen
1:2
Oct 4, 2024 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs Maastricht
1:1
Apr 12, 2024 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs Maastricht
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Emmen 85 / 100
Maastricht 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Emmen Maastricht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EMMF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maastricht has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: FC Emmen stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

FC Emmen scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

FC Emmen VS Maastricht
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Emmen

(Home)
29 Oct
Groningen
0 : 2
FC Emmen
23 Oct
Vitesse
0 : 2
FC Emmen
17 Oct
FC Emmen
2 : 1
Almere City
09 Oct
Dordrecht
0 : 3
FC Emmen
03 Oct
Waalwijk
1 : 1
FC Emmen
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Maastricht

(Away)
31 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 2
Venlo
28 Oct
Maastricht
0 : 3
Excelsior
23 Oct
Den Bosch
2 : 2
Maastricht
18 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 5
Heracles
09 Oct
NAC Breda
1 : 0
Maastricht
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 12 9 2 1 37:14 29
2 Venlo 12 8 1 3 34:20 25
3 FC Emmen 12 8 1 3 26:19 25
4 Almere City 13 8 1 4 27:13 25
5 Roda 13 7 4 2 17:12 25
6 NAC Breda 12 6 3 3 23:20 21
7 FC Volendam 13 6 1 6 30:22 19
8 Vitesse 12 5 2 5 16:17 17
9 Maastricht 12 5 2 5 16:27 17
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 13 5 2 6 32:28 17
11 Jong PSV 12 4 4 4 17:19 16
12 Waalwijk 13 3 7 3 22:19 16
13 Den Bosch 12 4 3 5 18:21 15
14 De Graafschap 13 4 3 6 17:27 15
15 TOP Oss 12 4 1 7 19:20 13
16 Jong Ajax 12 3 3 6 18:29 12
17 Helmond Sport 13 3 3 7 23:28 12
18 Dordrecht 12 3 2 7 16:31 11
19 Eindhoven FC 13 3 2 8 18:28 11
20 Jong Utrecht 12 2 1 9 19:31 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)