Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Emmen vs Venlo

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Verheij L.
Own Goal
41' Event
Quispel F.
Assist: Geypens T.
46'
Sub
Sbai Y. In: Vullers R.
Out: Sbai Y.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
FC Emmen
15%
Draws
28%
Venlo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Emmen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Venlo at 1.57 per game, FC Emmen at 1.41.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on FC Emmen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FC Emmen Clean Sheet 12%
Venlo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Emmen Venlo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.41 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs Venlo
2:2
Oct 17, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs FC Emmen
4:0
May 2, 2025 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs Venlo
2:1
Nov 22, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs FC Emmen
0:2
Mar 8, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs FC Emmen
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Emmen Compare

Top Goalscorer Quispel F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Venlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Zandbergen D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Emmen 47 / 100
Venlo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Emmen Venlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EMMF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venlo has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

FC Emmen found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Venlo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Emmen VS Venlo
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Emmen

(Home)
07 Aug
FC Emmen
1 : 0
Roda
01 Aug
FC Emmen
4 : 0
Almere City
24 Jul
FC Emmen
0 : 3
Twente
17 Jul
Heracles
2 : 0
FC Emmen
11 Jul
Groningen
3 : 2
FC Emmen
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Venlo

(Away)
07 Aug
Venlo
3 : 4
Heracles
01 Aug
Venlo
2 : 3
Eupen
25 Jul
Venlo
0 : 1
Fortuna Koln
21 Jul
FC Viktoria Koln
5 : 3
Venlo
18 Jul
Venlo
2 : 1
Leuven B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Den Haag 38 29 2 7 90:37 89
2 Cambuur 38 23 9 6 75:48 78
3 Willem II 38 20 8 10 59:42 68
4 De Graafschap 38 18 9 11 74:58 63
5 Almere City 38 18 4 16 78:63 58
6 Waalwijk 38 16 10 12 71:59 58
7 Jong PSV 38 17 5 16 66:64 56
8 Roda 38 14 13 11 59:54 55
9 Den Bosch 38 14 9 15 65:69 51
10 Dordrecht 38 12 11 15 48:56 47
11 Eindhoven FC 38 14 5 19 51:69 47
12 Jong Utrecht 38 12 10 16 58:62 46
13 Venlo 38 13 6 19 50:58 45
14 FC Emmen 38 12 9 17 58:72 45
15 Vitesse 38 15 11 12 64:55 44
16 TOP Oss 38 11 11 16 54:64 44
17 Jong AZ Alkmaar 38 12 4 22 61:76 40
18 Helmond Sport 38 10 9 19 42:62 39
19 Maastricht 38 9 11 18 41:73 38
20 Jong Ajax 38 9 8 21 50:73 35
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)