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FC Emmen vs Willem II

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Doodeman N.
Assist: Culum A.
46'
Sub
Hojabrpour A. In: Geypens T.
Out: Hojabrpour A.
52'
Zarrouk A.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between FC Emmen and Willem II finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Willem II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
FC Emmen
15%
Draws
46%
Willem II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Willem II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Willem II come out ahead of FC Emmen on wins alone.
  • FC Emmen are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FC Emmen Clean Sheet 10%
Willem II Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Emmen Willem II
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 18
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.39 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.86 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs Willem II
0:3
Nov 15, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Willem II vs FC Emmen
1:1
Mar 1, 2024 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs Willem II
2:0
Dec 1, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Willem II vs FC Emmen
3:0
Jan 31, 2021 Eredivisie
Willem II vs FC Emmen
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Emmen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Willem II Compare

Top Goalscorer Doodeman N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haen D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Emmen 56 / 100
Willem II 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Emmen Willem II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EMMF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Emmen found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Willem II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: FC Emmen remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Emmen VS Willem II
1 Goals Scored 2.75
1.14 Goals Conceded 1
57% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Emmen

(Home)
07 Aug
FC Emmen
1 : 0
Roda
01 Aug
FC Emmen
4 : 0
Almere City
24 Jul
FC Emmen
0 : 3
Twente
17 Jul
Heracles
2 : 0
FC Emmen
11 Jul
Groningen
3 : 2
FC Emmen
Page 1 of 6

Willem II

(Away)
15 Aug
Willem II
1 : 4
Nijmegen
08 Aug
G.A. Eagles
4 : 1
Willem II
01 Aug
Willem II
2 : 1
OFI Crete
25 Jul
Willem II
1 : 0
KV Mechelen
11 Jul
Willem II
2 : 2
Eindhoven FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Den Haag 38 29 2 7 90:37 89
2 Cambuur 38 23 9 6 75:48 78
3 Willem II 38 20 8 10 59:42 68
4 De Graafschap 38 18 9 11 74:58 63
5 Almere City 38 18 4 16 78:63 58
6 Waalwijk 38 16 10 12 71:59 58
7 Jong PSV 38 17 5 16 66:64 56
8 Roda 38 14 13 11 59:54 55
9 Den Bosch 38 14 9 15 65:69 51
10 Dordrecht 38 12 11 15 48:56 47
11 Eindhoven FC 38 14 5 19 51:69 47
12 Jong Utrecht 38 12 10 16 58:62 46
13 Venlo 38 13 6 19 50:58 45
14 FC Emmen 38 12 9 17 58:72 45
15 Vitesse 38 15 11 12 64:55 44
16 TOP Oss 38 11 11 16 54:64 44
17 Jong AZ Alkmaar 38 12 4 22 61:76 40
18 Helmond Sport 38 10 9 19 42:62 39
19 Maastricht 38 9 11 18 41:73 38
20 Jong Ajax 38 9 8 21 50:73 35
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)