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FC Fassell vs Freeport

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
FC Fassell Logo

FC Fassell

2 - 1
FT
Freeport Logo

Freeport

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Fassell in this LFA First Division matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Fassell.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
FC Fassell
35%
Draws
17%
Freeport
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Fassell

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Fassell lately — more wins on the board than Freeport.
  • Win probability leans FC Fassell's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FC Fassell have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FC Fassell Clean Sheet 20%
Freeport Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Fassell Freeport
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 15 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.29 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.74 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 LFA First Division
Freeport vs FC Fassell
3:2
Nov 28, 2025 LFA First Division
FC Fassell vs Freeport
2:1
Mar 8, 2025 LFA First Division
Freeport vs FC Fassell
1:7
Nov 6, 2024 LFA First Division
FC Fassell vs Freeport
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Fassell 85 / 100
Freeport 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Fassell Freeport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Fassell Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freeport's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.25 goals.

Recent resilience: FC Fassell stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

FC Fassell's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FC Fassell VS Freeport
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Fassell

(Home)
24 May
FC Fassell
3 : 2
Borough FC
13 May
FC Fassell
0 : 0
Watanga
09 May
Paynesville
0 : 3
FC Fassell
03 May
FC Fassell
1 : 1
Black Man Warrior
25 Apr
FC Fassell
3 : 0
Gardnersville
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Freeport

(Away)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
14 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Freeport
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
30 Apr
Shaita
1 : 1
Freeport
26 Apr
Black Man Warrior
0 : 0
Freeport
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watanga 26 16 8 2 40:20 56
2 BEA Mountain 26 15 7 4 56:22 52
3 FC Fassell 26 13 8 5 31:17 47
4 LPRC Oiler 26 11 8 7 36:29 41
5 Liberia Registry 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
6 Paynesville 26 10 8 8 41:42 38
7 Discoveries 26 9 8 9 31:23 35
8 Wologizi 26 9 7 10 38:40 34
9 Heaven Eleven 26 7 11 8 33:35 32
10 Borough FC 26 6 9 11 33:44 27
11 Downtown 26 7 6 13 32:44 27
12 Gardnersville 26 7 6 13 36:51 27
13 Black Man Warrior 26 4 8 14 16:28 20
14 Freeport 26 4 5 17 38:64 17
15 Jubilee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)