Sport Picks

FC Felgueiras vs AD Fafe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal

Taça de Portugal Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos, Felgueiras

FC Felgueiras

1 - 0

AD Fafe

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Pinto J.

27'

Asamoah K.

46'

Asamoah K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

FC Felgueiras

30%

Draws

37%

AD Fafe

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD Fafe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence

AD Fafe carry the better recent record into this one.
AD Fafe are the model's pick here, at 40%.
AD Fafe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor FC Felgueiras, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors FC Felgueiras here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

FC Felgueiras Clean Sheet 20%

AD Fafe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Felgueiras	AD Fafe
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	8	12
Draws	10	9
Losses	9	8
Goals Scored	1.04	1.34
Goals Conceded	1	0.97
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Taça de Portugal

FC Felgueiras vs AD Fafe

1:0

Jan 5, 2024 Liga 3

AD Fafe vs FC Felgueiras

0:3

Sep 16, 2023 Liga 3

FC Felgueiras vs AD Fafe

1:0

Sep 10, 2023 Taça de Portugal

AD Fafe vs FC Felgueiras

1:2

Feb 25, 2023 Liga 3

AD Fafe vs FC Felgueiras

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Felgueiras Compare

Top Goalscorer Freitas A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

AD Fafe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08

Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Felgueiras 28 / 100

AD Fafe 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Felgueiras AD Fafe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Fafe Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Felgueiras scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

AD Fafe let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: FC Felgueiras remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Felgueiras VS AD Fafe

1 Goals Scored 1.5

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75

63% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Felgueiras

(Home)

01 Nov

Tondela

3 : 2

FC Felgueiras

25 Oct

FC Felgueiras

2 : 2

Lusitania FC

18 Oct

FC Felgueiras

1 : 0

AD Fafe

12 Oct

Benfica B

1 : 0

FC Felgueiras

19 Sept

Naval 1893

0 : 2

FC Felgueiras

Page 1 of 6

AD Fafe

(Away)

30 Oct

AD Fafe

3 : 1

Pacos Ferreira

25 Oct

AD Marco 09

0 : 0

AD Fafe

18 Oct

FC Felgueiras

1 : 0

AD Fafe

11 Oct

AD Fafe

2 : 2

Trofense

20 Sept

AD Fafe

4 : 0

Lajense

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Sporting CP -

TBD -

Alcains 1

Sertanense 0

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

Amora -

TBD -

Uniao Da Serra 5

Uniao de Pombal 0

Montijo 0

Atletico CP 4

TBD -

Lagoa -

Bombarralense -

TBD -

Vizela -

Rebordosa 2

FC Alpendorada 3

Macao 5

CF Os Gavionenses 0

TBD -

Casa Pia -

O Elvas CAD 9

Sao Roque 0

TBD -

Leiria -

Rebordelo 0

GD Braganca 4

Celoricense 1

Pevidem 0

Oliveirense 4

Penalva do Castelo 0

TBD -

Penafiel -

Covilha 0

Mortagua FC 1

TBD -

Leca -

FC Porto -

TBD -

Ermesinde 1

Paredes 3

Maria de Fonte 1

Uniao Nogueirense 0

TBD -

Famalicao -

GD Alcochetense 8

Fayal 0

C.F. Benfica 3

Viana Alentejo 0

TBD -

Maritimo -

Ac. Fundao 0

Guarda FC 6

TBD -

Chaves -

UD Ovarense -

TBD -

Fornos de Algodres 0

Os Marialvas 4

Vila Pouca -

TBD -

Brito -

GD Os Nazarenos 0

Vitoria Sernache 3

Varzim 5

Trofense 1

SC Barreiro 2

FC Madalena 5

TBD -

Lusitania FC -

Correlha 1

AD Limianos 4

Ferreiras 0

Aljustrelense 3

Santarem -

TBD -

Merelinense 2

Atletico Arcos 0

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Olhanense -

TBD -

Messejanense 0

Portel 8

Oliveira Hospital 1

GD Sourense 0

Uniao Montemor 1

Juv. Evora 4

ACDR Lamelas -

TBD -

Portalegrense 0

Santo Antonio 3

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

TBD -

Braga -

SC Salgueiros 2

Sousense 1

TBD -

Feirense -

TBD -

Estoril -

Nogueirense 1

Naval 1893 3

TBD -

FC Felgueiras -

Pacos Ferreira 0

AD Fafe 1

TBD -

Lajense -

Fazendense 1

Mocarriense 0

TBD -

Figueirense -

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Machico 2

Camacha 3

Florgrade 1

Sao Joao de Ver 0

Castro Daire -

TBD -

Portimonense -

Torreense -

TBD -

Benfica -

Caldas SC 1

Sintrense 3

TBD -

AFS -

TBD -

Moreirense -

Imortal -

TBD -

Tondela -

TBD -

Alverca -

Estrela Calheta -

TBD -

SC Vianense 8

Minas de Argozelo 0

Cinfaes 1

SC Espinho 0

TBD -

Leixoes -

Serpa 2

Grandolense 0

Castrense 0

Louletano 1

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Malveira 2

Mafra 3

TBD -

Tirsense -

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Beira Mar 4

Uniao Lamas 3

Lusitano GC 1

CF Os Belenenses 2

TBD -

Arouca -

Sacavenense 5

SC Angrense 0

TBD -

SC Farense -

Regua 0

AD Marco 09 1

Maia Lidador 1

Vila Mea 0

Fatima 3

SB Castelo Branco 1

TBD -

Vinhais -

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Anca -

TBD -

Sanjoanense 3

Pacos de Brandao 0

TBD -

Nacional -

1º Dezembro 0

Real SC 1

TBD -

Academica -

CDC Montalegre 0

Ponte da Barca 1

TBD -

Amarante FC -

1/64-finals

Sporting CP -

TBD -

Alcains 0

Vitoria Setubal 2

Amora 3

Uniao Da Serra 4

Atletico CP 4

Lagoa 1

Bombarralense 0

Vizela 1

FC Alpendorada 3

Macao 0

TBD -

Casa Pia -

O Elvas CAD 0

Leiria 2

GD Braganca 6

Celoricense 1

Oliveirense 1

Penafiel 2

Mortagua FC 0

Leca 2

FC Porto -

TBD -

Paredes 5

Maria de Fonte 1

TBD -

Famalicao -

GD Alcochetense 2

C.F. Benfica 0

TBD -

Maritimo -

Guarda FC 2

Chaves 3

UD Ovarense 0

Os Marialvas 1

Vila Pouca 0

Brito 5

Vitoria Sernache 2

Varzim 1

FC Madalena 1

Lusitania FC 3

AD Limianos 3

Aljustrelense 0

Santarem 5

Merelinense 0

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Olhanense 1

Portel 0

Oliveira Hospital 3

Juv. Evora 2

ACDR Lamelas 4

Santo Antonio 1

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

TBD -

Braga -

SC Salgueiros 1

Feirense 0

TBD -

Estoril -

Naval 1893 0

FC Felgueiras 2

AD Fafe 4

Lajense 0

Fazendense 6

Figueirense 1

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Camacha 0

Florgrade 1

Castro Daire 0

Portimonense 1

Torreense -

TBD -

Benfica -

Sintrense 0

AFS 2

TBD -

Moreirense -

Imortal 1

Tondela 5

TBD -

Alverca -

Estrela Calheta 1

SC Vianense 3

Cinfaes 0

Leixoes 4

Serpa 1

Louletano 2

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Mafra 3

Tirsense 2

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Beira Mar 0

CF Os Belenenses 2

TBD -

Arouca -

Sacavenense 0

SC Farense 1

AD Marco 09 1

Maia Lidador 0

Fatima 4

Vinhais 1

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Anca 1

Sanjoanense 4

TBD -

Nacional -

Real SC 1

Academica 4

Ponte da Barca 0

Amarante FC 2

1/32-finals

Sporting CP -

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal 1

Uniao Da Serra 2

Atletico CP 1

Vizela 0

FC Alpendorada 0

Casa Pia 1

Leiria 2

GD Braganca 1

Penafiel 0

Leca 1

FC Porto -

TBD -

Paredes 1

Famalicao 0

GD Alcochetense 1

Maritimo 2

Chaves 2

Os Marialvas 1

Brito 0

Vitoria Sernache 1

Lusitania FC 2

AD Limianos 1

Santarem 2

Gil Vicente 3

Olhanense 2

Oliveira Hospital 1

ACDR Lamelas 0

Vitoria Guimaraes 1

TBD -

Braga -

SC Salgueiros 1

Estoril 2

FC Felgueiras 1

AD Fafe 0

Fazendense 1

Estrela da Amadora 2

Florgrade 1

Portimonense 2

Torreense -

TBD -

Benfica -

AFS 1

Moreirense 0

Tondela 2

Alverca 0

SC Vianense 1

Leixoes 0

Louletano 0

Rio Ave 1

Mafra 3

Santa Clara 2

CF Os Belenenses 3

Arouca 4

SC Farense 3

AD Marco 09 0

Fatima 1

Academico Viseu 0

Sanjoanense 1

Nacional 0

Academica 3

Amarante FC 2

1/16-finals

Sporting CP -

Uniao Da Serra -

Atletico CP -

Casa Pia -

Leiria -

Leca -

FC Porto -

Paredes -

Maritimo -

Chaves -

Vitoria Sernache -

Lusitania FC -

Gil Vicente -

Olhanense -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Braga -

Estoril -

FC Felgueiras -

Estrela da Amadora -

Portimonense -

Torreense -

Benfica -

AFS -

Tondela -

SC Vianense -

Rio Ave -

Mafra -

Arouca -

SC Farense -

Fatima -

Sanjoanense -

Academica -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

FC Felgueiras vs AD Fafe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal

FC Felgueiras

AD Fafe

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

FC Felgueiras Compare

AD Fafe Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

FC Felgueiras

AD Fafe

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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