Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Felgueiras vs Chaves

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Sat, Jul 19, 2025
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Felgueiras host Chaves in the Club Friendly 2025. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. FC Felgueiras have averaged 0.93 scored and 0.97 conceded recently, against Chaves's 1.26 scored and 1.45 conceded. Head-to-head, FC Felgueiras have won 2 to Chaves's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 0.76, favoring FC Felgueiras. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Felgueiras
20%
Draws
40%
Chaves
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Chaves carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC Felgueiras a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
FC Felgueiras Clean Sheet 20%
Chaves Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Felgueiras Chaves
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 12
Draws 11 2
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 0.93 1.26
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
FC Felgueiras vs Chaves
2:1
Jan 31, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
FC Felgueiras vs Chaves
1:0
Aug 22, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Chaves vs FC Felgueiras
1:1
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
FC Felgueiras vs Chaves
0:0
Feb 15, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Chaves vs FC Felgueiras
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Felgueiras 58 / 100
Chaves 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Felgueiras Chaves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Felgueiras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chaves conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

FC Felgueiras has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

FC Felgueiras found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

FC Felgueiras VS Chaves
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Felgueiras

(Home)
19 Sept
Naval 1893
0 : 2
FC Felgueiras
12 Sept
FC Felgueiras
1 : 2
Penafiel
06 Sept
Vizela
1 : 0
FC Felgueiras
30 Aug
FC Felgueiras
2 : 1
Chaves
24 Aug
SC Farense
1 : 1
FC Felgueiras
Page 1 of 6

Chaves

(Away)
20 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 3
Chaves
13 Sept
Chaves
1 : 0
Feirense
30 Aug
FC Felgueiras
2 : 1
Chaves
23 Aug
Chaves
2 : 2
AFS
15 Aug
Sporting CP B
1 : 0
Chaves
Page 1 of 7