Sport Picks

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FC Felgueiras vs Pacos Ferreira

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos, Felgueiras
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Pinto J.
20'
Ferreira T.
32'
Martins H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
FC Felgueiras
30%
Draws
16%
Pacos Ferreira
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Felgueiras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Felgueiras lately — more wins on the board than Pacos Ferreira.
  • Model gives FC Felgueiras a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
FC Felgueiras Clean Sheet 68%
Pacos Ferreira Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Felgueiras Pacos Ferreira
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 0.96 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Pacos Ferreira vs FC Felgueiras
0:0
Apr 10, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
FC Felgueiras vs Pacos Ferreira
0:0
Dec 1, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Pacos Ferreira vs FC Felgueiras
1:1
May 10, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Pacos Ferreira vs FC Felgueiras
1:2
Jan 12, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
FC Felgueiras vs Pacos Ferreira
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Felgueiras 95 / 100
Pacos Ferreira 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Felgueiras Pacos Ferreira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Felgueiras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Felgueiras's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Pacos Ferreira conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

FC Felgueiras went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Pacos Ferreira lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Felgueiras VS Pacos Ferreira
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Felgueiras

(Home)
19 Sept
Naval 1893
0 : 2
FC Felgueiras
12 Sept
FC Felgueiras
1 : 2
Penafiel
06 Sept
Vizela
1 : 0
FC Felgueiras
30 Aug
FC Felgueiras
2 : 1
Chaves
24 Aug
SC Farense
1 : 1
FC Felgueiras
Page 1 of 6

Pacos Ferreira

(Away)
13 Sept
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
05 Sept
SC Vianense
2 : 2
Pacos Ferreira
29 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1
AD Fafe
22 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 4
Varzim
15 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1
Paredes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maritimo 34 20 6 8 50:29 66
2 Academico Viseu 34 17 8 9 58:33 59
3 Torreense 34 18 5 11 46:33 59
4 Vizela 34 14 9 11 39:40 51
5 FC Porto B 34 15 6 13 41:42 51
6 Leiria 34 13 11 10 52:46 50
7 Leixoes 34 15 5 14 46:55 50
8 Feirense 34 12 10 12 37:40 46
9 Chaves 34 13 6 15 42:40 45
10 Benfica B 34 11 11 12 43:44 44
11 FC Felgueiras 34 11 11 12 34:38 44
12 Lusitania FC 34 11 10 13 44:52 43
13 Sporting CP B 34 13 3 18 41:34 42
14 Penafiel 34 11 8 15 37:39 41
15 Portimonense 34 11 7 16 39:49 40
16 SC Farense 34 10 10 14 31:37 40
17 Pacos Ferreira 34 9 12 13 34:48 39
18 Oliveirense 34 8 10 16 34:49 34
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)