Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Gandzasar vs Ararat Yerevan

Armenia Armenia

Premier League Stadion Gandzasar, Kapan
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Movsesyan E.
(Penalty)
38'
Haroyan V.
46'
Sub
Lizalda E. In: Doumbia K.
Out: Lizalda E.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between FC Gandzasar and Ararat Yerevan finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ararat Yerevan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Gandzasar
15%
Draws
85%
Ararat Yerevan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ararat Yerevan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ararat Yerevan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Ararat Yerevan taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
FC Gandzasar Clean Sheet 14%
Ararat Yerevan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gandzasar Ararat Yerevan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.83 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Premier League
FC Gandzasar vs Ararat Yerevan
0:2
Mar 21, 2026 Premier League
FC Gandzasar vs Ararat Yerevan
2:1
Mar 14, 2026 Premier League
Ararat Yerevan vs FC Gandzasar
0:2
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Gandzasar vs Ararat Yerevan
1:1
Aug 1, 2025 Premier League
FC Gandzasar vs Ararat Yerevan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Gandzasar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ararat Yerevan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kante M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gandzasar 23 / 100
Ararat Yerevan 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gandzasar Ararat Yerevan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ararat Yerevan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ararat Yerevan let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Ararat Yerevan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: FC Gandzasar scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Gandzasar VS Ararat Yerevan
1 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gandzasar

(Home)
18 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 3
Urartu
12 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 2
Ararat Yerevan
04 Sept
Noah
3 : 2
FC Gandzasar
30 Aug
FC Gandzasar
0 : 3
BKMA
21 Aug
Alashkert
3 : 0
FC Gandzasar
Page 1 of 6

Ararat Yerevan

(Away)
12 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 2
Ararat Yerevan
05 Sept
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 1
Ararat-Armenia
30 Aug
Noah
4 : 0
Ararat Yerevan
21 Aug
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 2
Pyunik Yerevan
15 Aug
BKMA
1 : 2
Ararat Yerevan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noah 8 8 0 0 21:5 24
2 Pyunik Yerevan 8 5 3 0 18:8 18
3 Ararat-Armenia 7 5 1 1 14:7 16
4 Alashkert 8 4 3 1 18:6 15
5 Sardarapat 8 3 3 2 14:12 12
6 Urartu 8 3 2 3 12:10 11
7 Shirak Gyumri 7 3 1 3 10:7 10
8 BKMA 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
9 Ararat Yerevan 7 2 0 5 5:13 6
10 Van 8 1 1 6 4:21 4
11 FC Gandzasar 8 1 0 7 8:20 3
12 Syunik 7 0 2 5 3:16 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027/2028 (Main)