Sport Picks

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FC Gardabani vs FC Tbilisi 2025

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Gardabani play FC Tbilisi 2025 in the Liga 3. FC Tbilisi 2025 are favorites here. Recently, FC Gardabani averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.39 conceded. FC Tbilisi 2025 averaged 2.35 goals scored and 0.71 conceded. In past meetings, FC Gardabani won 1, FC Tbilisi 2025 won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 21, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for FC Gardabani and 2.56 for FC Tbilisi 2025. This points to a FC Tbilisi 2025 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
FC Gardabani
20%
Draws
60%
FC Tbilisi 2025
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Tbilisi 2025

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Gardabani picked up more points recently compared to FC Tbilisi 2025.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 2.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
FC Gardabani Clean Sheet 10%
FC Tbilisi 2025 Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gardabani FC Tbilisi 2025
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 7 22
Draws 5 7
Losses 19 2
Goals Scored 1.03 2.35
Goals Conceded 2.39 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs FC Tbilisi 2025
1:3
Sep 25, 2025 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs FC Gardabani
4:0
Apr 24, 2025 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs FC Tbilisi 2025
1:2
Sep 5, 2024 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs FC Gardabani
1:1
Mar 14, 2024 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs FC Tbilisi 2025
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Gardabani Compare

Top Goalscorer Gadzhiev R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

FC Tbilisi 2025 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lukava G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Asimu T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gardabani 20 / 100
FC Tbilisi 2025 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gardabani FC Tbilisi 2025

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Tbilisi 2025 Win (2)
Secondary Pick FC Tbilisi 2025 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +66.6%
8.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Gardabani attacking → ← attacking FC Tbilisi 2025

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Gardabani scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

FC Tbilisi 2025 let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

FC Gardabani went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

FC Tbilisi 2025 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 73
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Tbilisi 202515123040:839
2Guria15103242:1033
3Iberia 1999 21594225:931
4Gonio1593325:1130
5Orbi1582526:1526
6Merani Tbilisi1574421:1625
7Didube1574422:1825
8WIT Georgia1573521:1424
9Dinamo Tbilisi 21553718:1818
10Khobi1552820:2817
11Locomotive Tbilisi1544714:2116
12Margveti 20061551915:3016
13FC Gardabani1534814:3013
14Iveria Khashuri1516813:289
15Betlemi Keda1523109:339
16FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi1503128:443