Sport Picks

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FC Gardabani vs Guria

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Sichinava D.
36' Event
Tabatadze I.
45' Event
Kokosadze L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between FC Gardabani and Guria finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
FC Gardabani
15%
Draws
71%
Guria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • FC Gardabani haven't matched Guria's recent run of results.
  • 71% — that's where the model lands on Guria taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
FC Gardabani Clean Sheet 10%
Guria Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gardabani Guria
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 5 21
Draws 4 3
Losses 23 9
Goals Scored 0.91 2.67
Goals Conceded 2.72 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs Guria
0:5
Apr 16, 2026 Liga 3
Guria vs FC Gardabani
0:0
Oct 10, 2024 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs Guria
3:0
Apr 18, 2024 Liga 3
Guria vs FC Gardabani
0:3
Aug 21, 2018 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs Guria
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Gardabani Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Guria Compare

Top Goalscorer Sichinava D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tabatadze I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.78
Avg xA / game 1.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gardabani 10 / 100
Guria 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gardabani Guria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

FC Gardabani found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (32 games).

Guria let in goals in 58% of their last 33 matches.

FC Gardabani has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Gardabani VS Guria
0.88 Goals Scored 2.75
3.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gardabani

(Home)
17 Sept
Margveti 2006
3 : 0
FC Gardabani
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
Guria
03 Sept
FC Gardabani
2 : 1
Betlemi Keda
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
20 Aug
FC Gardabani
1 : 2
Didube
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Guria

(Away)
17 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
Guria
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Guria
21 Aug
Guria
2 : 0
Iberia 1999 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 22 16 3 3 63:11 51
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 22 14 7 1 54:14 49
3 Iberia 1999 2 22 11 8 3 34:16 41
4 Merani Tbilisi 22 11 6 5 37:27 39
5 Gonio 22 11 5 6 32:22 38
6 WIT Georgia 22 10 5 7 35:25 35
7 Orbi 22 10 4 8 36:25 34
8 Didube 22 9 7 6 34:28 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 22 9 5 8 34:30 32
10 Margveti 2006 22 9 3 10 30:35 30
11 Locomotive Tbilisi 22 7 7 8 27:28 28
12 Khobi 22 6 3 13 28:45 21
13 FC Gardabani 22 4 4 14 18:53 16
14 Iveria Khashuri 22 1 10 11 22:46 13
15 Betlemi Keda 22 3 4 15 13:54 13
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 22 2 5 15 18:56 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)