Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Gardabani vs Samegrelo

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2017
FC Gardabani Logo

FC Gardabani

5 - 0
FT
Samegrelo Logo

Samegrelo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Gardabani in this Liga 3 2017 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Gardabani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Gardabani
15%
Draws
85%
Samegrelo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samegrelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Samegrelo lately — more wins on the board than FC Gardabani.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Samegrelo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
FC Gardabani Clean Sheet 20%
Samegrelo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gardabani Samegrelo
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 5 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 23 16
Goals Scored 0.88 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.56 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2018 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs Samegrelo
1:5
May 28, 2018 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs FC Gardabani
2:2
Nov 15, 2017 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs FC Gardabani
0:5
Oct 4, 2017 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs Samegrelo
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gardabani 10 / 100
Samegrelo 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gardabani Samegrelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samegrelo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Samegrelo conceded in 76% of 34 recent games.

Samegrelo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Gardabani found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

FC Gardabani VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gardabani

(Home)
20 Aug
FC Gardabani
1 : 2
Didube
13 Aug
Orbi
3 : 0
FC Gardabani
06 Aug
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
WIT Georgia
26 Jun
FC Gardabani
1 : 5
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
21 Jun
FC Gardabani
1 : 3
FC Tbilisi 2025
Page 1 of 7

Samegrelo

(Away)
07 Aug
Samegrelo
0 : 3
Merani Martvili
07 Jul
Samegrelo
4 : 3
Didube
06 Dec
Samgurali II
2 : 1
Samegrelo
29 Nov
Samegrelo
2 : 0
FC Kolkheti Khobi
21 Nov
Betlemi Keda
1 : 0
Samegrelo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shevardeni Tbilisi 18 13 4 1 49:10 43
2 Telavi 18 12 3 3 56:15 39
3 Merani Tbilisi 18 12 3 3 45:21 39
4 FC Gardabani 18 9 4 5 40:18 31
5 Mark Stars Tbilisi 18 7 3 8 37:32 24
6 Khoni 18 5 6 7 13:26 21
7 Chiatura 18 5 2 11 15:33 17
8 Betlemi Keda 18 4 4 10 23:44 16
9 FC Kolkheti Khobi 18 3 4 11 9:39 13
10 Samegrelo 18 1 5 12 12:61 8
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2017 (Relegation)