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FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Merani Martvili

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Central stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Jolokhava A. In: Laghadze B.
Out: Jolokhava A.
56'
Sub
Tolordava L. In: Tchikaidze I.
Out: Tolordava L.
57' Event
Aidarashvili D.

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 game between FC Gareji Sagarejo and Merani Martvili finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Gareji Sagarejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
FC Gareji Sagarejo
11%
Draws
9%
Merani Martvili
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: FC Gareji Sagarejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Merani Martvili haven't matched FC Gareji Sagarejo's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on FC Gareji Sagarejo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • FC Gareji Sagarejo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
FC Gareji Sagarejo Clean Sheet 68%
Merani Martvili Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gareji Sagarejo Merani Martvili
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 12
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Merani Martvili
1:0
Apr 3, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Martvili vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:0
Oct 27, 2023 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Merani Martvili
6:1
Aug 18, 2023 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Martvili vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:4
May 15, 2023 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Merani Martvili
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Gareji Sagarejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Aidarashvili D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Merani Martvili Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gareji Sagarejo 86 / 100
Merani Martvili 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gareji Sagarejo Merani Martvili

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

FC Gareji Sagarejo scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Merani Martvili let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: FC Gareji Sagarejo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Gareji Sagarejo VS Merani Martvili
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Gareji Sagarejo19116224:1239
2Telavi19105422:1535
3Merani Martvili1986523:2030
4Shturmi1969417:1427
5Dusheti1974818:2325
6Bolnisi1967625:2025
7Odishi 19191966723:2624
8Kolkheti 19131946924:2418
9Gori1937913:2416
10Samtredia19441125:3616