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FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Shturmi Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Central stadium, Sagaredzo
Our Tip

Match Events

49'
Sekhniashvili Z.
61'
Sub
Kardava D. In: Lekvtadze I.
Out: Kardava D.
66'
Sub
Kapanadze T. In: Tchikaidze I.
Out: Kapanadze T.

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 game between FC Gareji Sagarejo and Shturmi finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
FC Gareji Sagarejo
20%
Draws
47%
Shturmi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shturmi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Gareji Sagarejo come out ahead of Shturmi on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
FC Gareji Sagarejo Clean Sheet 11%
Shturmi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gareji Sagarejo Shturmi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 8 11
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.27 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shturmi vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:0
Jun 17, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Shturmi
0:0
Apr 26, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shturmi vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:2
Nov 9, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Shturmi
5:1
Sep 1, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shturmi vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gareji Sagarejo 30 / 100
Shturmi 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gareji Sagarejo Shturmi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shturmi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Gareji Sagarejo scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

FC Gareji Sagarejo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Shturmi has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Gareji Sagarejo VS Shturmi
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gareji Sagarejo

(Home)
20 Sept
Shturmi
1 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
16 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
2 : 1
Gori
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3
Bolnisi
29 Aug
Merani Martvili
1 : 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Page 1 of 6

Shturmi

(Away)
20 Sept
Shturmi
1 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
16 Sept
Telavi
1 : 1
Shturmi
12 Sept
Shturmi
2 : 0
Odishi 1919
06 Sept
Dusheti
3 : 4
Shturmi
29 Aug
Gori
3 : 1
Shturmi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 27 14 8 5 35:28 50
2 Telavi 27 11 10 6 29:25 43
3 Shturmi 27 11 10 6 29:23 43
4 Merani Martvili 27 10 7 10 30:34 37
5 Samtredia 27 11 4 12 48:40 37
6 Dusheti 27 10 5 12 30:37 35
7 Bolnisi 27 8 9 10 35:34 33
8 Odishi 1919 27 8 8 11 29:37 32
9 Kolkheti 1913 27 6 10 11 34:33 28
10 Gori 27 6 9 12 27:35 27
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)