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FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Telavi Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Central stadium, Sagaredzo
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Gugberidze B.
23'
Datuashvili A.
57'
Samadashvili G.

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 game between FC Gareji Sagarejo and Telavi finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Gareji Sagarejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
FC Gareji Sagarejo
35%
Draws
19%
Telavi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Gareji Sagarejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Gareji Sagarejo come out ahead of Telavi on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FC Gareji Sagarejo's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
FC Gareji Sagarejo Clean Sheet 16%
Telavi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gareji Sagarejo Telavi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 8 10
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.27 1
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Telavi vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
0:0
May 6, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Telavi
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Telavi vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
0:0
Nov 21, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Telavi
3:3
Sep 13, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Telavi vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Gareji Sagarejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Tchikaidze I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Telavi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gareji Sagarejo 41 / 100
Telavi 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gareji Sagarejo Telavi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Gareji Sagarejo scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: FC Gareji Sagarejo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Telavi conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FC Gareji Sagarejo VS Telavi
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gareji Sagarejo

(Home)
20 Sept
Shturmi
1 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
16 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
2 : 1
Gori
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3
Bolnisi
29 Aug
Merani Martvili
1 : 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo
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Telavi

(Away)
20 Sept
Odishi 1919
1 : 1
Telavi
16 Sept
Telavi
1 : 1
Shturmi
12 Sept
Gori
2 : 2
Telavi
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3
Samtredia
29 Aug
Bolnisi
2 : 1
Telavi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 27 14 8 5 35:28 50
2 Telavi 27 11 10 6 29:25 43
3 Shturmi 27 11 10 6 29:23 43
4 Merani Martvili 27 10 7 10 30:34 37
5 Samtredia 27 11 4 12 48:40 37
6 Dusheti 27 10 5 12 30:37 35
7 Bolnisi 27 8 9 10 35:34 33
8 Odishi 1919 27 8 8 11 29:37 32
9 Kolkheti 1913 27 6 10 11 34:33 28
10 Gori 27 6 9 12 27:35 27
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)