Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Gera 03 vs Aue II

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2011/2012 Stadion der Freundschaft, Gera
Sun, Feb 12, 2012
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Gera 03 host Aue II in the Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2011/2012. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Aue II have shipped 1.47 goals a game lately, while FC Gera 03 have conceded 2.61 and scored 0.89. Past meetings favor Aue II slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 12, 2012, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.35 vs 1.43, favoring Aue II. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Gera 03
20%
Draws
40%
Aue II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Aue II have won more games recently than FC Gera 03.
  • Win probability leans FC Gera 03's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FC Gera 03 Clean Sheet 17%
Aue II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gera 03 Aue II
Matches Played 18 38
Wins 3 15
Draws 3 10
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.89 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.61 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
FC Gera 03 vs Aue II
0:0
Aug 14, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Aue II vs FC Gera 03
1:0
Apr 7, 2010 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
FC Gera 03 vs Aue II
1:2
Aug 23, 2009 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Aue II vs FC Gera 03
2:0
Apr 5, 2009 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
FC Gera 03 vs Aue II
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gera 03 66 / 100
Aue II 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gera 03 Aue II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Gera 03 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Gera 03 scored in 61% of their last 18 games.

Aue II let in goals in 76% of their last 38 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Aue II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aue II
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gera 03

(Home)
10 Dec
Dresden II
3 : 0
FC Gera 03
03 Dec
Piesteritz
1 : 2
FC Gera 03
27 Nov
FC Gera 03
2 : 2
Jena II
19 Nov
FC Gera 03
1 : 2
Erfurt II
04 Nov
Lokomotive Leipzig
6 : 0
FC Gera 03
Page 1 of 4

Aue II

(Away)
14 Jun
Aue II
1 : 1
Schott Jena
07 Jun
Cottbus II
1 : 2
Aue II
29 May
Aue II
1 : 3
Sandersdorf
24 May
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
2 : 0
Aue II
16 May
Aue II
0 : 2
Chemnitzer II
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zwickau 26 18 6 2 71:20 60
2 Auerbach 26 15 7 4 47:30 52
3 Erfurt II 26 14 4 8 40:35 46
4 Dresden II 26 12 8 6 51:36 44
5 Jena II 26 12 8 6 39:32 44
6 Lokomotive Leipzig 26 13 3 10 40:27 42
7 Chemnitzer II 26 11 6 9 39:28 39
8 Fortuna Chemnitz 26 9 10 7 47:48 37
9 Bautzen 26 9 9 8 34:30 36
10 Aue II 26 9 4 13 43:42 31
11 Luckenwalde 26 7 3 16 38:55 24
12 Gotha 26 3 9 14 26:65 18
13 Piesteritz 26 4 4 18 27:63 16
14 Halle 26 4 3 19 22:53 15
15 FC Gera 03 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Borea Dresden 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga North 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga North 2012/2013 (Main)