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FC Gera 03 vs Borea Dresden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2011/2012 Stadion der Freundschaft, Gera
Sun, Feb 26, 2012
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Gera 03 host Borea Dresden in the Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2011/2012. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: FC Gera 03 at 0.81 goals for, 2.88 against; Borea Dresden at 0.33 for, 3 against. Head-to-head, FC Gera 03 have won 0 to Borea Dresden's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 26, 2012, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.05, favoring FC Gera 03. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
FC Gera 03
25%
Draws
22%
Borea Dresden
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: FC Gera 03

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Borea Dresden haven't matched FC Gera 03's recent run of results.
  • FC Gera 03 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
FC Gera 03 Clean Sheet 20%
Borea Dresden Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gera 03 Borea Dresden
Matches Played 16 3
Wins 2 0
Draws 2 1
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 0.81 0.33
Goals Conceded 2.88 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
FC Gera 03 vs Borea Dresden
0:0
Aug 27, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Borea Dresden vs FC Gera 03
1:1
Apr 11, 2010 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Borea Dresden vs FC Gera 03
4:0
Oct 3, 2009 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
FC Gera 03 vs Borea Dresden
0:1
Mar 8, 2009 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
FC Gera 03 vs Borea Dresden
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gera 03 58 / 100
Borea Dresden 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gera 03 Borea Dresden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Gera 03 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Borea Dresden conceded in 100% of 3 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

FC Gera 03's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Solid form: FC Gera 03 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Gera 03 VS Borea Dresden
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gera 03

(Home)
10 Dec
Dresden II
3 : 0
FC Gera 03
03 Dec
Piesteritz
1 : 2
FC Gera 03
27 Nov
FC Gera 03
2 : 2
Jena II
19 Nov
FC Gera 03
1 : 2
Erfurt II
04 Nov
Lokomotive Leipzig
6 : 0
FC Gera 03
Page 1 of 4

Borea Dresden

(Away)
06 Jul
Bischofswerdaer
4 : 0
Borea Dresden
27 Aug
Borea Dresden
1 : 1
FC Gera 03
21 Aug
Aue II
4 : 0
Borea Dresden

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zwickau 26 18 6 2 71:20 60
2 Auerbach 26 15 7 4 47:30 52
3 Erfurt II 26 14 4 8 40:35 46
4 Dresden II 26 12 8 6 51:36 44
5 Jena II 26 12 8 6 39:32 44
6 Lokomotive Leipzig 26 13 3 10 40:27 42
7 Chemnitzer II 26 11 6 9 39:28 39
8 Fortuna Chemnitz 26 9 10 7 47:48 37
9 Bautzen 26 9 9 8 34:30 36
10 Aue II 26 9 4 13 43:42 31
11 Luckenwalde 26 7 3 16 38:55 24
12 Gotha 26 3 9 14 26:65 18
13 Piesteritz 26 4 4 18 27:63 16
14 Halle 26 4 3 19 22:53 15
15 FC Gera 03 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Borea Dresden 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga North 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga North 2012/2013 (Main)