Sport Picks
FC Goa vs Mohun Bagan
India
ISL Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Fatorda), Margao 
Match Events
5'
5'
Sangwan A.
44'
44'
Singh B.
45'
45'
Rodriguez A.
AI Match Summary
The ISL game between FC Goa and Mohun Bagan finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mohun Bagan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Mohun Bagan carry the better recent record into this one.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Mohun Bagan taking it.
- Regular ISL form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
FC Goa Clean Sheet 18%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Goa | Mohun Bagan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 38 | 39 |
| Wins | 21 | 25 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 2.05 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.08 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 ISL
FC Goa vs Mohun Bagan
1:1
Apr 30, 2025 Super Cup
Mohun Bagan vs FC Goa
1:3
Mar 8, 2025 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs FC Goa
2:0
Dec 20, 2024 ISL
FC Goa vs Mohun Bagan
2:1
Feb 14, 2024 ISL
FC Goa vs Mohun Bagan
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Goa Compare
Top Goalscorer Kharbudon R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Mohun Bagan Compare
Top Goalscorer Maclaren J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Goa 10 / 100
Mohun Bagan 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Goa Mohun Bagan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mohun Bagan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Goa's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 38 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Mohun Bagan let in goals in 49% of their last 39 matches.
FC Goa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Goa VS Mohun Bagan
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Goa
(Home) 12 Aug
Arkadag
3 : 0 FC Goa
18 May
Kerala Blasters
2 : 1 FC Goa
09 May
FC Goa
1 : 1 Mohun Bagan
01 May
Jamshedpur
2 : 0 FC Goa
24 Apr
North East United
0 : 2 FC Goa
Page 1 of 8
09 May
FC Goa
1 : 1 Mohun Bagan
18 Apr
FC Goa
2 : 0 Mumbai City
10 Apr
FC Goa
3 : 1 Odisha FC
04 Apr
FC Goa
0 : 2 Bengaluru FC
26 Feb
FC Goa
1 : 0 SC Delhi
Page 1 of 5
Mohun Bagan
(Away) 23 Aug
East Bengal
4 : 1 Mohun Bagan
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 North East United
17 Aug
Mohun Bagan
2 : 1 Jamshedpur
10 Aug
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0 CISF Protectors
04 Aug
Mohun Bagan
8 : 0 South United
Page 1 of 8
23 Aug
East Bengal
4 : 1 Mohun Bagan
25 Jul
East Bengal
0 : 1 Mohun Bagan
09 May
FC Goa
1 : 1 Mohun Bagan
19 Apr
North East United
0 : 1 Mohun Bagan
04 Apr
Jamshedpur
1 : 1 Mohun Bagan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Bengal | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 30:11 | 26 |
| 2 | Mohun Bagan | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 23:9 | 26 |
| 3 | Mumbai City | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:9 | 25 |
| 4 | Bengaluru FC | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 18:12 | 23 |
| 5 | Jamshedpur | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15:10 | 22 |
| 6 | Minerva Punjab | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 22 |
| 7 | FC Goa | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:11 | 20 |
| 8 | Kerala Blasters | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 9 | North East United | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:21 | 16 |
| 10 | Inter Kashi | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:17 | 13 |
| 11 | Odisha FC | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:22 | 11 |
| 12 | SC Delhi | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 13 | Chennaiyin FC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9:21 | 9 |
| 14 | Mohammedan | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7:32 | 3 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
