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FC Goa vs North East United Prediction & H2H Stats

India India

Super Cup Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Fatorda), Margao
FC Goa Logo

FC Goa

1 - 2
FT
North East United Logo

North East United

Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Lalbiaknia L.
46'
Sub
Lalbiaknia L. In: Samperio J.
Out: Lalbiaknia L.
58'
Moreno P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
FC Goa
20%
Draws
57%
North East United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: North East United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • North East United average 2.03 goals a game right now, well clear of FC Goa's 1.41.
  • Model gives North East United a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor North East United, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FC Goa Clean Sheet 13%
North East United Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Goa North East United
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 16 16
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.41 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 ISL
North East United vs FC Goa
0:2
Nov 1, 2025 Super Cup
FC Goa vs North East United
1:2
Jan 14, 2025 ISL
North East United vs FC Goa
1:1
Oct 4, 2024 ISL
FC Goa vs North East United
3:3
Feb 21, 2024 ISL
FC Goa vs North East United
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Goa Compare

Top Goalscorer Tavora S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

North East United Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yadav R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.5
Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Goa 10 / 100
North East United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Goa North East United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North East United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: North East United conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

FC Goa's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

FC Goa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Goa VS North East United
1.29 Goals Scored 2
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Goa

(Home)
12 Aug
Arkadag
3 : 0
FC Goa
18 May
Kerala Blasters
2 : 1
FC Goa
09 May
FC Goa
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan
01 May
Jamshedpur
2 : 0
FC Goa
24 Apr
North East United
0 : 2
FC Goa
Page 1 of 7

North East United

(Away)
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1
North East United
26 Sept
Sreenidi Deccan
0 : 3
North East United
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
North East United
17 Aug
Lajong
2 : 5
North East United
11 Aug
North East United
3 : 1
FC 1
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 3 1 2 0 6:2 5
2 Mohun Bagan 3 1 2 0 2:0 5
3 Dempo 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
4 Chennaiyin FC 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
Promotion - Super Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Goa 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
2 North East United 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
3 Jamshedpur 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Inter Kashi 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - Super Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Minerva Punjab 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Bengaluru FC 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
3 Gokulam 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Mohammedan 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - Super Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mumbai City 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
2 Kerala Blasters 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Rajasthan United 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 SC Delhi 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
Promotion - Super Cup (Play Offs)