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FC Goa vs Odisha FC Prediction & H2H Stats

India India

ISL 2025/2026 Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Fatorda), Margao
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Match Events

25'
Thoiba M.
33'
Sub
K P R. In: Suhair V.
Out: K P R.
38'
Patre H.

AI Match Summary

FC Goa in this ISL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Goa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
FC Goa
30%
Draws
39%
Odisha FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Odisha FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • FC Goa have won more games recently than Odisha FC.
  • Win probability leans FC Goa's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
FC Goa Clean Sheet 20%
Odisha FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Goa Odisha FC
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 5 11
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.47 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 ISL
FC Goa vs Odisha FC
3:1
Feb 6, 2025 ISL
FC Goa vs Odisha FC
2:1
Jan 4, 2025 ISL
Odisha FC vs FC Goa
2:4
Feb 9, 2024 ISL
Odisha FC vs FC Goa
1:1
Jan 22, 2024 Super Cup
FC Goa vs Odisha FC
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Goa Compare

Top Goalscorer Drazic D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moreno P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Odisha FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Suhair V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Goa 40 / 100
Odisha FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Goa Odisha FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Goa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Odisha FC conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

FC Goa's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

FC Goa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Goa VS Odisha FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Goa

(Home)
12 Aug
Arkadag
3 : 0
FC Goa
18 May
Kerala Blasters
2 : 1
FC Goa
09 May
FC Goa
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan
01 May
Jamshedpur
2 : 0
FC Goa
24 Apr
North East United
0 : 2
FC Goa
Page 1 of 8

Odisha FC

(Away)
21 May
Jamshedpur
0 : 0
Odisha FC
16 May
Odisha FC
2 : 3
Minerva Punjab
08 May
SC Delhi
1 : 2
Odisha FC
04 May
Odisha FC
1 : 1
Bengaluru FC
28 Apr
East Bengal
3 : 0
Odisha FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 13 7 5 1 30:11 26
2 Mohun Bagan 13 7 5 1 23:9 26
3 Mumbai City 13 7 4 2 17:9 25
4 Bengaluru FC 13 6 5 2 18:12 23
5 Jamshedpur 13 6 4 3 15:10 22
6 Minerva Punjab 13 6 4 3 18:12 22
7 FC Goa 13 5 5 3 15:11 20
8 Kerala Blasters 13 5 2 6 15:17 17
9 North East United 13 4 4 5 16:21 16
10 Inter Kashi 13 3 4 6 11:17 13
11 Odisha FC 13 2 5 6 14:22 11
12 SC Delhi 13 2 5 6 13:17 11
13 Chennaiyin FC 13 2 3 8 9:21 9
14 Mohammedan 13 0 3 10 7:32 3
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)