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FC Gomel 2 vs Smorgon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Centralnyj Stadion, Gomel
Sun, Nov 15, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Gomel 2 host Smorgon in the Pershaya Liga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. FC Gomel 2 have averaged 1.48 scored and 2.24 conceded recently, against Smorgon's 1.55 scored and 1.34 conceded. Past meetings favor Smorgon slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 2.06, favoring Smorgon. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
FC Gomel 2
15%
Draws
64%
Smorgon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Smorgon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • FC Gomel 2 haven't matched Smorgon's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Smorgon a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FC Gomel 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Smorgon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gomel 2 Smorgon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs FC Gomel 2
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gomel 2 18 / 100
Smorgon 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gomel 2 Smorgon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Smorgon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Gomel 2 scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Smorgon conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

FC Gomel 2 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Gomel 2 VS Smorgon
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gomel 2

(Home)
02 Nov
FC Gomel 2
1 : 4
FC Minsk 2
25 Oct
Osipovichi
1 : 4
FC Gomel 2
18 Oct
FC Gomel 2
0 : 1
FK Lida
10 Oct
Niva Dolbizno
5 : 2
FC Gomel 2
03 Oct
FC Gomel 2
0 : 3
SKA-1938 Minsk
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Smorgon

(Away)
01 Nov
Volna Pinsk
1 : 0
Smorgon
24 Oct
Soligorsk
4 : 0
Smorgon
17 Oct
Smorgon
1 : 0
BumProm Gomel
11 Oct
FC Minsk 2
0 : 2
Smorgon
03 Oct
Smorgon
2 : 0
Osipovichi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slutsk 31 20 6 5 61:30 66
2 FK Lida 31 21 3 7 57:44 66
3 Niva Dolbizno 31 20 5 6 81:38 65
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 31 19 5 7 68:36 62
5 FC Slonim 31 16 5 10 53:38 53
6 Soligorsk 31 14 8 9 62:46 50
7 Molodechno 31 15 3 13 53:51 48
8 Ostrovets 31 10 12 9 43:43 42
9 Volna Pinsk 31 12 5 14 46:56 41
10 BumProm Gomel 31 12 5 14 56:51 41
11 Smorgon 31 11 6 14 36:41 39
12 Din. Minsk 2 30 11 5 14 43:45 38
13 FC Minsk 2 31 11 3 17 46:59 36
14 Uni X Labs 31 8 9 14 32:40 33
15 Orsha 31 9 6 16 38:58 33
16 FC Gomel 2 31 6 6 19 43:66 24
17 Osipovichi 31 6 5 20 34:79 23
18 BATE 2 30 5 7 18 39:70 22
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)