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FC Gomel vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Centralnyj Stadion, Gomel
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Gomel host Arsenal Dzerzhinsk in the Vysshaya Liga. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: FC Gomel at 1.47 goals for, 1 against; Arsenal Dzerzhinsk at 1 for, 1.62 against. Head-to-head, FC Gomel have won 1 to Arsenal Dzerzhinsk's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 26, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.44 - 0.88) back FC Gomel to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
FC Gomel
30%
Draws
16%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Gomel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • FC Gomel have won more games recently than Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.
  • FC Gomel are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
FC Gomel Clean Sheet 20%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gomel Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.47 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs FC Gomel
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Gomel vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
4:0
Nov 2, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs FC Gomel
0:0
Jun 13, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
FC Gomel vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0:2
Nov 30, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs FC Gomel
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gomel 36 / 100
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gomel Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Gomel scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

FC Gomel has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Gomel VS Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gomel

(Home)
24 Oct
FC Gomel
1 : 2
Din. Minsk
17 Oct
Dynamo Brest
2 : 2
FC Gomel
11 Oct
FC Gomel
1 : 5
ML Vitebsk
02 Oct
FC Gomel
1 : 0
Belshina
20 Sept
FK Baranovici
0 : 2
FC Gomel
Page 1 of 6

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

(Away)
25 Oct
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 0
Dnepr Mogilev
19 Oct
Din. Minsk
2 : 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
09 Oct
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 1
Dynamo Brest
03 Oct
FC Minsk
0 : 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Minsk 26 18 4 4 50:22 58
2 ML Vitebsk 26 16 8 2 52:19 56
3 Isloch Minsk 26 16 7 3 48:20 55
4 Dynamo Brest 26 14 5 7 45:26 47
5 Neman 26 13 4 9 32:25 43
6 Vitebsk 26 11 7 8 29:23 40
7 FC Gomel 26 11 7 8 37:27 40
8 FC Minsk 26 10 4 12 33:36 34
9 Zhodino 26 9 6 11 32:35 33
10 Slavia Mozyr 26 8 7 11 33:35 31
11 FK Baranovici 26 7 7 12 27:43 28
12 Belshina 26 6 6 14 28:47 24
13 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 26 5 9 12 24:44 24
14 BATE 26 4 9 13 19:33 21
15 Dnepr Mogilev 26 3 11 12 24:40 20
16 Naftan 26 4 5 17 24:62 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)