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FC Gomel vs BumProm Gomel

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Gomel play BumProm Gomel in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Gomel averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1 conceded. BumProm Gomel averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, FC Gomel won 3, BumProm Gomel won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 13, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for FC Gomel and 1.69 for BumProm Gomel. This points to a FC Gomel double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FC Gomel
15%
Draws
34%
BumProm Gomel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Gomel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • FC Gomel picked up more points recently compared to BumProm Gomel.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
FC Gomel Clean Sheet 13%
BumProm Gomel Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gomel BumProm Gomel
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.81 1.9
Goals Conceded 1 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Gomel vs BumProm Gomel
3:1
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Gomel vs BumProm Gomel
1:0
Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
FC Gomel vs BumProm Gomel
2:4
Feb 10, 2024 Club Friendly
FC Gomel vs BumProm Gomel
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Gomel Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovalevich D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Savitskiy A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

BumProm Gomel Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gomel 49 / 100
BumProm Gomel 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gomel BumProm Gomel

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Gomel or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Gomel attacking → ← attacking BumProm Gomel

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Gomel scored in 85% of their last 26 games.

BumProm Gomel let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

FC Gomel went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

BumProm Gomel lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 47
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75