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FC Gomel vs Vitebsk

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Centralnyj Stadion, Gomel
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Kuntsevich M.
Assist: Krasnov E.
60'
Sub
Leonovich K. In: Pashevich P.
Out: Leonovich K.
64'
Sub
Anufriev A. In: Teverov R.
Out: Anufriev A.

AI Match Summary

Vitebsk in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitebsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
FC Gomel
15%
Draws
64%
Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: FC Gomel at 1.69 per game, Vitebsk at 1.54.
  • Win probability leans Vitebsk's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
FC Gomel Clean Sheet 20%
Vitebsk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gomel Vitebsk
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.69 1.54
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
FC Gomel vs Vitebsk
0:1
Jul 25, 2026 Belarusian Cup
FC Gomel vs Vitebsk
1:2
Mar 20, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs FC Gomel
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Vitebsk vs FC Gomel
0:0
Sep 15, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
FC Gomel vs Vitebsk
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Gomel Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Vitebsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuntsevich M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gomel 20 / 100
Vitebsk 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gomel Vitebsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitebsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Gomel found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (26 games).

Defensive concern: Vitebsk conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

FC Gomel has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Gomel VS Vitebsk
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gomel

(Home)
22 Aug
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 0
FC Gomel
15 Aug
FC Gomel
6 : 0
Naftan
09 Aug
FC Gomel
0 : 1
FC Minsk
01 Aug
FC Gomel
0 : 1
Vitebsk
25 Jul
FC Gomel
1 : 2
Vitebsk
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Vitebsk

(Away)
21 Aug
FC Minsk
0 : 1
Vitebsk
15 Aug
BATE
1 : 0
Vitebsk
08 Aug
Vitebsk
1 : 0
Neman
01 Aug
FC Gomel
0 : 1
Vitebsk
25 Jul
FC Gomel
1 : 2
Vitebsk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 17 11 4 2 31:14 37
2 Din. Minsk 16 11 3 2 30:13 36
3 ML Vitebsk 16 10 5 1 32:13 35
4 Dynamo Brest 19 9 4 6 31:18 31
5 FC Gomel 19 8 6 5 27:15 30
6 Vitebsk 19 8 5 6 19:17 29
7 FC Minsk 19 8 4 7 25:24 28
8 Neman 18 8 3 7 20:17 27
9 Zhodino 18 6 6 6 23:18 24
10 Slavia Mozyr 18 5 7 6 20:23 22
11 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 19 5 6 8 20:31 21
12 FK Baranovici 19 4 6 9 21:35 18
13 Belshina 17 4 3 10 16:31 15
14 BATE 17 2 8 7 12:19 14
15 Dnepr Mogilev 19 2 8 9 16:29 14
16 Naftan 18 2 4 12 16:42 10
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)