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FC Gomel vs Vitebsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Centralnyj Stadion, Gomel
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Kuntsevich M.
Assist: Krasnov E.
60'
Sub
Leonovich K. In: Pashevich P.
Out: Leonovich K.
64'
Sub
Anufriev A. In: Teverov R.
Out: Anufriev A.

AI Match Summary

Vitebsk in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitebsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
FC Gomel
30%
Draws
37%
Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vitebsk lately — more wins on the board than FC Gomel.
  • Win probability leans Vitebsk's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
FC Gomel Clean Sheet 21%
Vitebsk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gomel Vitebsk
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.41 1.23
Goals Conceded 1 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
FC Gomel vs Vitebsk
0:1
Jul 25, 2026 Belarusian Cup
FC Gomel vs Vitebsk
1:2
Mar 20, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs FC Gomel
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Vitebsk vs FC Gomel
0:0
Sep 15, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
FC Gomel vs Vitebsk
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Gomel Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Vitebsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuntsevich M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gomel 16 / 100
Vitebsk 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gomel Vitebsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitebsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Gomel found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: FC Gomel remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Vitebsk has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

FC Gomel VS Vitebsk
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gomel

(Home)
17 Oct
Dynamo Brest
2 : 2
FC Gomel
11 Oct
FC Gomel
1 : 5
ML Vitebsk
02 Oct
FC Gomel
1 : 0
Belshina
20 Sept
FK Baranovici
0 : 2
FC Gomel
13 Sept
Isloch Minsk
2 : 1
FC Gomel
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Vitebsk

(Away)
17 Oct
FK Baranovici
0 : 1
Vitebsk
11 Oct
Vitebsk
0 : 0
Isloch Minsk
03 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 0
Vitebsk
20 Sept
Vitebsk
6 : 0
Zhodino
12 Sept
Vitebsk
1 : 1
Belshina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ML Vitebsk 24 15 8 1 50:18 53
2 Din. Minsk 24 16 4 4 45:19 52
3 Isloch Minsk 24 14 7 3 41:20 49
4 Dynamo Brest 25 13 5 7 41:25 44
5 Neman 25 13 4 8 31:21 43
6 Vitebsk 25 11 7 7 29:21 40
7 FC Gomel 25 11 7 7 36:25 40
8 FC Minsk 25 10 4 11 32:33 34
9 Zhodino 25 9 6 10 30:31 33
10 Slavia Mozyr 25 7 7 11 29:33 28
11 FK Baranovici 25 6 7 12 24:42 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 25 5 8 12 24:44 23
13 BATE 25 4 9 12 19:32 21
14 Belshina 24 5 6 13 25:44 21
15 Dnepr Mogilev 25 3 10 12 24:40 19
16 Naftan 25 4 5 16 24:56 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)