Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Guantanamo vs FC Ciego de Avila

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Guantanamo in this Liga Nacional 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Guantanamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
FC Guantanamo
17%
Draws
13%
FC Ciego de Avila
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: FC Guantanamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Guantanamo lately — more wins on the board than FC Ciego de Avila.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on FC Guantanamo taking it.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors FC Guantanamo here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
FC Guantanamo Clean Sheet 68%
FC Ciego de Avila Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Guantanamo FC Ciego de Avila
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs FC Ciego de Avila
3:0
Apr 16, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs FC Guantanamo
1:4
Feb 26, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs FC Ciego de Avila
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Guantanamo 77 / 100
FC Ciego de Avila 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Guantanamo FC Ciego de Avila

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

FC Guantanamo's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: FC Guantanamo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

FC Ciego de Avila has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Guantanamo VS FC Ciego de Avila
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos761014:219
2FC La Habana752011:217
3Matanzas740311:812
4Artemisa731315:810
5FC Villa Clara72146:117
6Isla de La Juventud72145:107
7Pinar del Rio71246:155
8Mayabeque Guines71064:163
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Santiago de Cuba742114:514
2FC Guantanamo742112:614
3FC Holguin74129:713
4FC Camaguey73319:412
5CF Granma73045:99
6FC Sancti Spiritus72142:67
7FC Ciego de Avila72145:107
8Las Tunas70253:122